Author |
Share Topic Topic Search Topic Options
|
boatshed
Far too distracted from work
Joined: 12 Apr 05
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 457
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Topic: Is there a better way of setting an initial PY? Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:06am |
Originally posted by iGRF
So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts |
What part of Starcross Yacht Club on the Exe Estuary and Paignton Sailing Club Torbay are not coastal ? FWIW, I have a hunch the Icon will sail better in coastal waters than it does on inland puddles. I'm out, as they say in Dragon's Den due to GRF's sophistry. All this distracts from the fact that Mike has delivered a great 21st C double hander which clearly has it's roots in the Tasar/NS14. I hope it gets the success it deserves. It should be marketed as a quick, modern and simple one design. The PY will sort it's self out as numbers build.
|
Steve
|
 |
jeffers
Really should get out more
Joined: 29 Mar 04
Location: United Kingdom
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 3048
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:48am |
Originally posted by iGRF
But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out. |
Then as Commodore of a sailing club that does not send a return I do hope you will address this and at least do a paper return this year if not the full works via the PYS site.
This will help with the 'imbalance' of data.
|
Paul
----------------------
D-Zero GBR 74
|
 |
kneewrecker
Really should get out more
Joined: 09 Apr 14
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1586
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:58am |
he's only in it for the parking space....
|
 |
jeffers
Really should get out more
Joined: 29 Mar 04
Location: United Kingdom
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 3048
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 12:36pm |
Originally posted by kneewrecker
he's only in it for the parking space.... |
|
Paul
----------------------
D-Zero GBR 74
|
 |
Oli
Really should get out more
Joined: 23 Mar 05
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1020
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:03pm |
Originally posted by iGRF
Originally posted by boatshed
Originally posted by iGRF
If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.
It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.
| All those boats are high wind trapeze types. A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water. The Icon will do even better. As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge ? A Olympic medalist ? Or a competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ? At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit. |
But don't you see, you're making exactly the point. We all know the handicap will not be correct across all conditions, but it needs to be averagely 'fair' it's why the system is currently screwed up. Take the Phantom as a prime example, it has been quite literally trashed off the face of existence by the inlanders, Why? because it's being used to its strengths constantly and there is not enough data from regions where it is weak. i.e. On the sea in open water where it can't punch through the waves to come even close to a Laser or Contender given sailors of approximate even standard.
So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts and virtually ensure it never will with an EN number like that, it's not logical, it's not what the system is supposed to do. Until you cap the stats and take an even sample from a variety of venues you will not get an average.
Or you opt for the physical data, build a formula from what the decades of knowledge some of you must have and start from that.
But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out. |
The tool is there in the pys site to adjust your handicaps locally, thus overcoming the complication you're worried about, dual score your season to see what happens..... then implement it when you are confident.
|
|
 |
kneewrecker
Really should get out more
Joined: 09 Apr 14
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1586
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:13pm |
Originally posted by Oli
Originally posted by iGRF
Originally posted by boatshed
Originally posted by iGRF
If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.
It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.
| All those boats are high wind trapeze types. A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water. The Icon will do even better. As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge ? A Olympic medalist ? Or a competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ? At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit. |
But don't you see, you're making exactly the point. We all know the handicap will not be correct across all conditions, but it needs to be averagely 'fair' it's why the system is currently screwed up. Take the Phantom as a prime example, it has been quite literally trashed off the face of existence by the inlanders, Why? because it's being used to its strengths constantly and there is not enough data from regions where it is weak. i.e. On the sea in open water where it can't punch through the waves to come even close to a Laser or Contender given sailors of approximate even standard.
So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts and virtually ensure it never will with an EN number like that, it's not logical, it's not what the system is supposed to do. Until you cap the stats and take an even sample from a variety of venues you will not get an average.
Or you opt for the physical data, build a formula from what the decades of knowledge some of you must have and start from that.
But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out. |
The tool is there [snip] |
you could have saved a bit of bandwidth and finger strain with a response to Grumpf on handicaps....
|
 |
Oli
Really should get out more
Joined: 23 Mar 05
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1020
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:20pm |
haha i did think about shortening the response but i hear short jokes are a sore subject...
|
|
 |
iGRF
Really should get out more
Joined: 07 Mar 11
Location: Hythe
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 6499
|
Post Options
Quote Reply
Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:00pm |
Originally posted by boatshed
What part of Starcross Yacht Club on the Exe Estuary and Paignton Sailing Club Torbay are not coastal ? |
Come on, now far be it from me to speak in any derogatory way about Sailing clubs and venues but I've sailed both of those and you can hardly call them 'coastal' in the true sense, one is a river, the other a very sheltered bay.
|
|
 |