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Chris 249 ![]() Really should get out more ![]() ![]() Joined: 10 May 04 Online Status: Offline Posts: 2041 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Posted: 23 Feb 05 at 12:44pm |
"I have now
read the DS report and (not wishing to quote) but Barker says that the
boat in front was 100m away and so they felt they would not catch them
(and so improve their placing in that way), so the only option was to
go and attack the boat behind to improve their position."
But is that right? I thought that even after slowing down Irwin etc, they still ended up gaining on the fleet. So they had other options to perform well. Re "Now just consider this :
Last race.
1, One boat in front of you who you have to catch and pass to improve your chances in a regatta.
2, One boat behind you that if you push back even more can improve your position
Which boat do you attack ?
1, you
have to catch, do you have a boat speed advantage ? (probaly not), have
you tactical options (limited, last beat and about 100m in front,
enough distance ahead for a close cover from above to make it difficult
to catch up)"
For a start, Simon, your facts are wrong. According to DS and the jury Barker did NOT have to catch one boat...he merely had to stop it improving from 12th to 9th. So he had options. You can go left (tide is changing and will help that side), get past them and slam on them; that puts them one boat further back for a start even before you drive them back. If they don't cover you to the left, you may well pass them (perhaps they may have done so here if they hadn''t spent their time slowing Irwin). If they DO cover you, great. Time your tacks so that if they cover you, they have to tack in someone else's bad wind. Time your tacks so that they have to tack when they are in lulls. Remember their skipper has already been in hospital this regatta and if you tack and tack and tack, you may exhaust him. Because you are not trying to get past....you're just trying to slow him down so he does not gain 3 places. And are you saying that you CANNOT get past a boat 100 yards ahead? Of course you can, it's done all the time in match racing and that's when the boat ahead has fewer obstacles. I know Laser champs who have lost races when the guy 100m behind (who went on to win the Soling match racing worlds) got them to tack at the wrong time when they close covered. Hell, I think the technique is detailed in Elvstrom, and Connor. There are plenty of examples of boats 100 yards ahead being caught up the last beat - much less people who have helped reduce the chances of a boat gaining 3 places. Re "2, Boat behind you can go back to and guarantee you can do something."
" IMO this is an invalid
statement within the facts found, this is an opinion. Fact found
should only contain facts. "Something, yes...guarantees no, sometimes a good sailor in fast boats can sneak out of cover quickly. And if they don;t get out, can you sail them back 8m or so, so boats about a mile back up the course catch up in 9m of sailing? Can you tell me of another time when a boat has slowed another down to that extent? I've suffered the attentions of the world's 3rd best match racing team almost all to myself (I was the only reasonable boat in a scratch team) and they did not slow me down that much, and I'm nowhere near as good as Irwin and Perry. "They decided sometime up the last beat that they would not catch the boat infront and so went back to attack AUS. It sounds to me like the IJ/PC ended up using a bit of 20/20 hindsite." Soooo...what you're saying is that the Poms did NOT decide up the last beat that they could not catch the boat in front, so they went back. But isn't that exactly what Barker said they actually did do, in the Daily Sail? In the DS interview, Barker AGREES that "sometime up the last beat that they would not catch the boat infront and so went back to attack AUS. ". That's what HE said he did.....but when the jury say the same thing, you say they are using hindsight. Is that logical? Have you seen the transcripts from the protest? How do you know that Barker didn't tell the committee that's what happened? He told Daily Sail that's what happened! Well, in that case tell ISAF, the juries, the rulemakers, everyone else that they are wrong. And don't protest anyone on port/starboard. The state of mind of the port tacker is, under the current rules, a vital matter in such cases. Don't try to protest the guy who rams someone at full speed before the prep gun and sinks them when all the sunken boat needed was to finish....maybe the sinkee really did just make a mistake. ...Don't disqualify the Formula 40 skipper (Grundfos Pumps was the boat IIRC) who rammed a competitor and then hopped into his rubber ducky and used it to ram the competitor after the race....hey, maybe he was going over to congratulate them in the first instance and going over to apologise in the second, and he got it wrong both times. It sounds highly unlikely, but if you cannot look at his state of mind then you shouldn't penalise him. Even in murder trials (as in basically all criminal matters) state of mind is vital. Re "I think
somewere above says that there was approx 9 minutes of the race left to
run. The AUS boat was slowed by 3 minutes in 9. Add a capsize or 2,
a collision/foul and a couple of turns and surely you can find another
5 minutes. How long did Ben slow Robert at the olly's trying to do ONE
tack....."
I was watching Ben and Robert, live. I've raced against them and been coverd by Blackburn who was 3rd in that event so is no slouch....Ben didn't slow Robert down anywhere NEAR 9 minutes IIRC and it was over much, much more than one tack. He took the entire beat. It was great sailing, no-one ever hassled Ben, none of us watching (I was in a group including a 2 time Olympian and the dad of another competitor) ever had anything bad to say about Ben - because it was obvious that he was only doing what he did to help HIMSELF. What you say about capsizing does not sound correct to me, there is very little clearing up and recovery to be done in such a situation. And how stooppid do you think these world-class 14ers are? They are not going to capsize one or two times and foul someone in such a situation. And as far as "cleaning up"...see this description from the 14's history....During the Trials to determine the best combination of buoyancy and automatic bailing, Golden Spray (658) was fitted with two experimental transom scuppers of about 7sq.in. With full permitted buoyancy and two suction bailers, the boat could be capsized, pulled upright, and planing again in a little over a minute — the Committee of that time thought this was a little bit too swift, but today 14's are completely self draining, draining while planing has reached its logical conclusion. That was capsizing and "planing again in a little over a minute" and it was in 1955. Look at the 14s and see how much they've improved and changed in that 50 years, and then try to say it would normally take twice as long to recover. Maybe we should just change the rules....to something like this. 1) Follow the rules and abide by the jury decision and show good sportsmanship in doing so. 2) If the jury disqualifies a British boat, rule 1 does not apply. Hell, the bias in this matter is obvious; not in NZ, but in Y & Y where the creator of the first thread called the result a 'stitch up" before many facts were in. The absence of many facts didn't prevent minds being made up. The reaction to the jury's decision is about as unsporting as.......as Shane Warne's antics, and you can't get much lower than that. Stefan, re "In the DS report Barker does say they deliberately drove AUS 631 left." OK, on the one hand we have a competitor, on the other hand a jury. Why is a competitor's explanation of why he should not have been disqualified thought to be more trustworthy than the jury's report?? " I agree the DS report isn't particularly satisfactory but it is the only place I've seen when Barker gets his say." Barker got his say in the protest room. So did any witnesses he wanted, and other witnesses. The jury found against him. Irwin and Perry have had NO place to be seen to have their say, outside of the protest room. How can you balance Barker's case against Irwins, when you have not heard Irwin's?? We've only heard a one-sided story from Barker - why should it get more credence than the decision of those who have heard both sides (the jury)? Why should it get more credence than the (so far untold) story of Irwin? One story has been found believable, the other has not. Why not go with the one that has been believed by an impartial body? Edited by Chris 249 |
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Scooby_simon ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 02 Apr 04 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 2415 |
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I have now read the DS report and (not wishing to quote) but Barker says that the boat in front was 100m away and so they felt they would not catch them (and so improve their placing in that way), so the only option was to go and attack the boat behind to improve their position.
Now just consider this :
Last race.
1, One boat in front of you who you have to catch and pass to improve your chances in a regatta.
2, One boat behind you that if you push back even more can improve your position
Which boat do you attack ?
1, you have to catch, do you have a boat speed advantage ? (probaly not), have you tactical options (limited, last beat and about 100m in front, enough distance ahead for a close cover from above to make it difficult to catch up)
2, Boat behind you can go back to and guarantee you can do something.
I would take option 2.
(Bell chair of the PC) says that if they had started their actions ealier the (PC) may have made a different judgment, however, it is also stated that GBR had to decide if they could catch the boat in front or not, they decided sometime up the last beat that they would not catch the boat infront and so went back to attack AUS. It sounds to me like the IJ/PC ended up using a bit of 20/20 hindsite.
Also, others have made comments about the facts found being more about the state of mind / perceptions of actions. IMO this is an invalid statement within the facts found, this is an opinion. Fact found should only contain facts.
going back to my comments above re slowing them down.
I think somewere above says that there was approx 9 minutes of the race left to run. The AUS boat was slowed by 3 minutes in 9. Add a capsize or 2, a collision/foul and a couple of turns and surely you can find another 5 minutes. How long did Ben slow Robert at the olly's trying to do ONE tack.....
Now people may think I am taking the GBR side, but I am not, I find this part of sailing very interesting as we do so little of it sailing cats.
The more I read about this the more I think Barker has been badly done by.
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Stefan Lloyd ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 03 Aug 04 Online Status: Offline Posts: 1599 |
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In the DS report Barker does say they deliberately drove AUS 631 left. Unfortunately I don't think I ought to quote verbatim here from a subscription site. I agree the DS report isn't particularly satisfactory but it is the only place I've seen when Barker gets his say. |
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Scooby_simon ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 02 Apr 04 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 2415 |
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Yup, but if you are trying to forve them down the fleet. I minute to get the boat back up. how long to sort out and then start sailing again. All with another boat waiting for you to get sorted out so they can continue the fight... |
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Chris 249 ![]() Really should get out more ![]() ![]() Joined: 10 May 04 Online Status: Offline Posts: 2041 |
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Stefan, I meant Bell was trying not to sound biased; of course you are
right, he was also defending the decision in the course of explaining
it. You are also right on the requirements for something to be "clearly
established", but as you imply, the jury felt it was established and as
you said, they seem to have made the right decision.
As you said "The protest document contains very little of what Barker said on the TheDailySail to justify himself", but the document also contains very little of what 631 said, AND 631 didn't get quoted on the Daily Sail. That 631 were not (apparently) interviewed by DS is itself not great journalism in a controversial case (unless they declined to comment which is normally noted). Some people have said that 1516 drove 631 out to the side that turned out to be favoured, but the PC ruling said ""On the final leg of race 7 AUS 631 went to the port side of the course." BEFORE 1516 turned back, and I think the DS report said so too.It's only a minor point, but 1516 didn't drive 631 out to the side of the course that turned out to be favoured....631 had already gone out there (possibly knowing the tide was turning, as it was in fact) that underlines that without the hindrance, 631 would almost certainly have made up to few places they needed. Some people have said or implied that it was only 1516's interference that piushed 631 out to the correct side. I've done a bit of teams racing fairly succesfully and including sailing against the team that was 3rd in the team racing worlds. AFAIK it would be hard to drive someone back through the fleet to boats that are 8 m behind, and most sailors would have looked back to see how far the high 20s...about a mile or so in this case. |
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Stefan Lloyd ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 03 Aug 04 Online Status: Offline Posts: 1599 |
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Depends on what you mean by neutral. The IJ has made a controversial decision and Bell (chair) now has to stand by and justify that decision. Therefore the evidence he brings forward is the evidence that supports him. The protest document contains very little of what Barker said on the TheDailySail to justify himself. Maybe he didn't say those things during the protest - we don't know. Thinking about this decision some more, what makes it really unusual as a protest case is that it is all about GBR1516's motivation rather than their behaviour. Normally a protest case is about....this was the geometry of the boats on the water (facts found) and here are the rules that apply. This case is about GBR1516's motivation. They could do exactly the same thing, and depending on why they did it, rule 2 was or was not broken. I don't think protest committees or IJs were really designed to make that kind of decision. I think the balance of probabilities is that GBR1516 were team racing but I don't see the evidence as conclusive. Barker makes case that had the wind not shifted to favour the left, he may have been able to drive the AUS boat down to 28th. Can the IJ really be sure that he couldn't have. A very good point has been made on the other thread that the evidence standards for a rule 2 violation are higher than for other rules. "A boat may only be penalized under this rule if it is clearly established (my italics) that these principles have been violated". So did the IJ clearly establish that if the wind had not shifted to favour the left, GBR1516 would still have had no chance to drive the AUS boat down to 28th. I'm not certain they did. The protest findings don't really address the question: they look at the finishing timings with the wind shift as it happened. Almost nobody expected the shift. The fleet went right and GBR1516 drove the AUS boat left precisely because it was expected not to be favoured. The IJ had a very difficult case and I don't envy them. But the more I think about it, the less convinced I am they made the right decision. If the bigger picture, though, is the need to ensure that team tactics stay out of fleet racing, maybe they did the right thing. Tough for the two GBR boats though.
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Chris 249 ![]() Really should get out more ![]() ![]() Joined: 10 May 04 Online Status: Offline Posts: 2041 |
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Re "They are a protest committee, not a court of law. Protest decisions are
made on the balance of probabilities all the time. "Reasonable doubt"
is a defence in law but not in front of a protest committee."
Umm, actually "reasonable doubt" is NOT a concept that is used in civil legal actions, which this is comparable to. The requirement to prove beyond reasonable doubt is for criminal matters. The balance of probabilities is the test for all civil matters (with one or two minute exceptions where onus has been switched by legislation). So many, many cases, including contract cases and anti-competitive cases involving vast sums (like the Microsoft cases AFAIK), are decided on the balance of probabilities. Inferring motives from the evidence is frequently a vital part of these cases. It's very well trodden ground. Stefan says that the DS article makes Barker's case sound more reasonable than the jury's decision does (although there seem to be some major leaps of logic in Barker's case IMHO). Surely that's not surprising, nor should it be used as evidence that the jury may have been wrong - Barker is an interested party therefore he is (consciously or sub-consciously) trying to present his case in the best possible light. The head of the jury is trying to sound neutral. So we've heard from one side and we've heard from the umpire; we have not heard Irwin and Perry's side of the matter. No wonder such one-sided info sounds convincing! However, the jury got to hear BOTH sides, and from a RC member and from a Brit coach, and they did not believe Barker. They are in a better position than we are in to judge the matter. Scooby, for the past 50 years you've been able to get a 14 up in a minute or less. Hell, even an 18 can come up in a minute or less. Edited by Chris 249 |
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sargethesailor ![]() Newbie ![]() Joined: 21 Feb 05 Online Status: Offline Posts: 12 |
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Copy of my post on the other thread. I think the Rule 2 bit is highly significant - more on the facts found when I reaccess them. Is it? They are a protest committee, not a court of law. Protest decisions are made on the balance of probabilities all the time. "Reasonable doubt" is a defence in law but not in front of a protest committee. It is only a sailboat race albeit, in this case, quite an important one. [/QUOTE] However Rule 2 binds the PC/IJ somewhat more than the normal standard of proof with the phrase "A boat may only be penalized under this rule if it is clearly established that these principles have been violated". When I read the facts found I see some fairly hefty jumps of logic, which have been previously discussed. They do not,to me, add up to "clearly established". I would suggest that there was an imperative to give redress in the interests of a "fair" result. As already commented PCs/IJs write facts found to support their conclusions. To do so required a Rule 2 DNE. One can not know the reaction of Steve Morrison at this remove, but in all honesty the result is probably fair - from what I read it seems the Aussies would have closed the gap enough to win. If Ian Barker and Co genuinely did not team race then they can feel extremely aggrieved at what is a signifcant slur. If they did then fair enough - but my own feeling is that the IJ's facts found don't sufficiently support their conclusion in the context of standards of proof for Rule 2, and the other issues which go with that for the protestee. |
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Scooby_simon ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 02 Apr 04 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 2415 |
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But by placing the (initial) claose cover they would be pressing for a mistake from Irwin/Perry, one capsize could have lost the extra 5 minutes. If they were tring to push them down the fleet FOR THEIR OWN ends, they sohuld have kept the vover on the whole way up the beat. Thus making they (supposed) intions clear. By breaking off once the other boat was ina position to wind was at best silly, and at worst identified what thery were really trying to do. I would actually like to keep these two threads seperate as (I hope) we are talking about the rules here, the other thread is starting to talk about the people and what happened.
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JimC ![]() Really should get out more ![]() ![]() Joined: 17 May 04 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 6661 |
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There was a rule 2 protest found against the covering boat. Rule 62.1 reads in part:- 62.1 A request for redress or a protest committee’s decision to consider redress shall be based on a claim or possibility that a boat’s score in a race or series has, through no fault of her own, been made significantly worse by [snip] (d) a boat against which a penalty has been imposed under rule 2[snip] Given the rule 2 finding the redress follows uncontroversially. |
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