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Dougaldog View Drop Down
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    Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 11:16am
Chris 249 and Jim C...... I'm not sure that there is such clear evidence of 'single causal factors' at work here - indeed, the work I've been doing suggests that you've a lot of complex and inter related reasons for the change (though I don't disagree at all with the changes you've identified).
One of the changes that I've seen over the past 2 or 3 years is the way in which the 'traditional' classes have regained a great deal of the ground they lost in the early days of the SMODs. The Merlins in particular are going from strength to strength, not only numbers are up but the increases are rich in top class helms who all seem to be wanting to join the fleet. Recently I was at a well know sailing club that has an impressive 'glory board' listing successful helms - now the last time I was there the dinghy park was full of RS 400s, 800s and 300s and 700s for the singlehanders. That same dinghy park now is full of Fireballs, Merlins, Solos and Contenders...so something is happening there.

There have of course been casualties - the Hornet is struggling big time, the 470 doesn't really exist much outside of the Olympic scene and the 505 is a shadow of it's former position as 'top dog'. But there is also the danger here that we're looking at this issue from a UK centric viewpoint; cross the channel and you'll find that boats such as the 470 and 505 are not just strong but gaining numbers and influence

I'm not saying that the stats are wrong BUT - I think there is a far more complex picture here in the UK that needs to be understood. The trouble here in the UK is that if you stick your head above the parapet and say the 'bleeding obvious' you'll get shouted down as negative and a nay sayer! To me, the lack of a sensible dialogue about the situation within the sport is a far greater problem than the actual classes we sail (or don't sail)
D
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iGRF View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote iGRF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 11:24am
The 'single causal factor' as I see it is purely commercial, it's the peripheral sail and small boat building side of the business asserting itself over the former major players, Topper, Laser & RS, coupled to the opportunity for sponsored kit for would be pro or semi pro jocks associated with those businesses in the promotion of their wares in the development classes of old.

The only route to counter this as I think we've all banged on about at one time or another would be a new 'box ruled' development environment, so the energy and enthusiasm of all those businesses gets channelled into something new and exciting rather than applying lipstick to farm animals..



Edited by iGRF - 07 Aug 13 at 11:27am
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Rupert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:10pm
Back in the 20's and 30's, the YRA saw it as part of their remit to create development classes which fitted current designs within them. I can't see the modern RYA doing the same thing.

However, if you want to start a new Box Rule class, it couldn't be simpler. Just select parameters which suit a group of people, and get building. I guess you could kick start it by making the rule fit several already existing classes - say, the ISO, Alt0, Laser 4000, or Lightning, Streaker, Flash - but more likely that would simply muddy the long-term waters for possible short term numbers.

Then you have to decide how extreme you want the rule to take boats and set limitations to match. Seems to have worked for the F18.


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Chris 249 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:11pm
Originally posted by Dougaldog

Chris 249 and Jim C...... I'm not sure that there is such clear evidence of 'single causal factors' at work here - indeed, the work I've been doing suggests that you've a lot of complex and inter related reasons for the change (though I don't disagree at all with the changes you've identified).
One of the changes that I've seen over the past 2 or 3 years is the way in which the 'traditional' classes have regained a great deal of the ground they lost in the early days of the SMODs. The Merlins in particular are going from strength to strength, not only numbers are up but the increases are rich in top class helms who all seem to be wanting to join the fleet. Recently I was at a well know sailing club that has an impressive 'glory board' listing successful helms - now the last time I was there the dinghy park was full of RS 400s, 800s and 300s and 700s for the singlehanders. That same dinghy park now is full of Fireballs, Merlins, Solos and Contenders...so something is happening there.

There have of course been casualties - the Hornet is struggling big time, the 470 doesn't really exist much outside of the Olympic scene and the 505 is a shadow of it's former position as 'top dog'. But there is also the danger here that we're looking at this issue from a UK centric viewpoint; cross the channel and you'll find that boats such as the 470 and 505 are not just strong but gaining numbers and influence

I'm not saying that the stats are wrong BUT - I think there is a far more complex picture here in the UK that needs to be understood. The trouble here in the UK is that if you stick your head above the parapet and say the 'bleeding obvious' you'll get shouted down as negative and a nay sayer! To me, the lack of a sensible dialogue about the situation within the sport is a far greater problem than the actual classes we sail (or don't sail)
D

With respect (honestly) I think that you may be assuming (not for the first time) that others are being more simplistic and less thorough than they are.

I can't speak for Jim (although I suspect he shares many of these views) but I certainly don't believe that there are simplistic causal factors. Like you, I think that the reasons for the changes that we have seen are very complicated; the boats that we sail are influenced by matters as diverse as the width of an Austin A40 sedan and the property rights of the north-eastern USA. However, there do appear to be broad trends that are significant and understandable. A reduction in traditional performance one designs, followed in the UK by a revival once they were spurred to changes, may be one of those.

It is partly my belief that these things are so complex that leads me to post when I see things that I see (perhaps wrongly) as expressions of simple "make it faster/more high tech/etc and they will come" reasoning. As you say, there are many and complex factors, which is why I am interested in looking VERY wide abroad; the fact that I am so interested in the UK scene when I live on the other side of the world is an indication of that.

I completely agree that the lack of sensible dialogue is a massive problem. As we agree, the factors that influence sailing classes and their design and popularity are immensely complex. Perhaps because of the complexity of the sport, there doesn't seem to be the sort of knowledge of its history and trends that are seen in other sports, or at least the ones I do and in ones like cricket.




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Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:21pm
The width of the gates at Ichenor sailing club was the deciding factor on how wide an International 14 was allowed to become.

However, does "make it more fun, they will come" work at all? Lots of different ideas of what "fun" is, therefore lots of different types of boat. Of course, for the majority of the human race, none of them, from Tideway dinghies to 49ers to Westerlies to Maxi raters are fun, therefore they don't sail.

However, the blinkered vision that GRF witters on about can mean that those already into sailing can miss that many people elsewhere are having fun (more fun?) in something new, and maybe it is worth a look. That new thing doesn't have to be any of the Faster/more hitech/etc to be fun, just a different take on things.

Perhaps the Open Bic falls into that category?
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Post Options Post Options   Quote iGRF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:44pm
The blinkered view that GRF witters on about is that Fast and High Performance needn't necessarily be difficult or unappealing to use.

Even what we are talking about here, an old box with a gaff rig v a new wash through with a modern(ish) windsurf inspired rig, in it's way is exactly what is going on through the entire sport.

That bloody awful Finn still being used at the very highest level thanks to the boys in Blazers, I'm sure that racing would be just as TV appealing in Phantoms.

That other nice rig on the International class we talked about the other day, the Byte, ignored in favour of what a Laser Radial I guess.

Extreme Luddism at every level as far as I can see..

Edited by iGRF - 07 Aug 13 at 12:45pm
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Chris 249 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:50pm
Originally posted by 2547

Originally posted by JimC

Originally posted by Chris 249

The stats I'm working on seem pretty clear - the drop-off in numbers at national title level is mainly caused by the fall in performance ODs and development classes and in slow "family" boats at the other extreme. The Laser/Opti etc are not the culprits, they are the survivors to emulate.


Exactly what I see as well: the sport is focussing on the middle. I'd have thought that the youngsters who did who did campaigns in 29ers from my club would be wanting to sail high performance boats, but with a few exceptions (hello Nicola) it just doesn't seem to be happening very much.

How does it look if you aggregate some of the similar High Performance (HP) classes?

In the 80s & 90s there were few HP boats; the 505 & Fireball were the classes you sailed if you were a bit of a boyracer ... now we have many more classes following the late 90s and early 2000s proliferation of fast SMODs ...

I suspect the damage is more as a result of the HP fleets getting fragmented rather than sailors falling out of love with HP boats ...

How do you stats look of you look at the number of competitors in various bands of PY? That would be an interesting graph if you had the base data to hand ...

I haven't got the stats to hand, but I can recall working out the numbers and I'm pretty sure that the aggregated HP classes represented a smaller % of the total nationals fleet than they did decades ago. I've been meaning to put the graphs together properly but I've ended up spending my time putting more data in the spreadsheet.

One example of the development is that the average speed of the 10 most popular classes is now 0.5% slower than it was in the boomtime of the dinghies, about 1975. Of course it's not a precise measure because the base boats for the yardstick (420s, Solos whatever) are going faster as well. However it does indicate that there has been no big shift towards speed.

The fact that the sport dropped in popularity as soon as the speeds of the "big 10" classes peaked indicates to me that (as is known to happen in other sports) there may well have been a revenge effect. The initial boom came about because of factors such as the arrival of cheap, simple beginner's boats like the GP14. Those who got into the sport with GPs etc often then became more experienced and moved into 505s, etc - this was noted at the time. The problem is that a shift in accent towards faster boats and more experienced sailors, a natural product of a maturing sport in many ways, leads to reduced attention on the vital task of ensuring that new blood comes in and that classes for beginners stay strong and healthy.

Plenty of people inside the industry have also noted the same trend - when there are enough experienced and committed sailors around, those who are trying to make a buck end up concentrating on selling craft suited for the experienced sailors and the beginner's market dwindles. And we may also have been seeing a bit of a snobbish attitude in many quarters towards the beginner/family boats that could (IMHO) revitalise the sport by bringing in new blood. I suspect that this snobbery is fading in the same way that the snobbery towards the Holt etc ply boats faded 50 years ago.

With such complex matters there are no easy answers. However, when trends repeat across various branches of the sport and across different countries and eras, there does seem to be fairly good evidence that concentrating on high performance is harmful for overall health of the sport.


Edited by Chris 249 - 07 Aug 13 at 12:52pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote JimC Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:51pm
Originally posted by 2547

How do you stats look of you look at the number of competitors in various bands of PY?

Exactly the same. If you think there are a lot of high performance classes now you should look at how many there were in the 70s! There are any number of trapeze boats that have fallen by the wayside or exist as tiny niches. Its a myth that there are more classes now than there used to be - more the opposite.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote RS400atC Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:52pm
Originally posted by Chris 249


sail)
D

...
I completely agree that the lack of sensible dialogue is a massive problem. As we agree, the factors that influence sailing classes and their design and popularity are immensely complex. Perhaps because of the complexity of the sport, there doesn't seem to be the sort of knowledge of its history and trends that are seen in other sports, or at least the ones I do and in ones like cricket.


 
[/QUOTE]
Cricket is an interesting comparison.
If you were inventing a sport from scratch, and hoping to make it popular in many areas of the world, would cricket be taken seriously?
 
The current situation is partly driven by history.
The rest of it is a complex balancing act between the benefits of change vs stability.
 
It's largely about the class associations. If they are organisations like the SMOD associations which grew very quickly mostly around a narrow demographic, they are likely to be more cyclical than an organisation that grows slowly and accumulates a wider demographic over the years.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote r2d2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 13 at 12:55pm
and its not just GRF has some of these views - I only say this so that the debate isn't just ignored because its assumed that there is just one guy with odd views who should perhaps be humoured and ignored.
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