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2016 PY Predictor |
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pompeysailor 
Posting king 
Joined: 16 Jul 07 Online Status: Offline Posts: 101 |
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 Topic: 2016 PY PredictorPosted: 27 Jan 16 at 10:15am |
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Does anyone have a crystal ball and wants to throw out some predictions on any movement on PY this year?
I would personally (just my opinion!) like to see the Phantom to move back to normality from 995 and get in the 1000/1005 region |
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Formerly - OK 2145 Phantom 1437, Blaze 819, Fireball 14668, Mirror 54145
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Neptune
Really should get out more 
Joined: 08 Jun 09 Location: Berkshire United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 1314 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 10:59am |
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i predict some people will be grumpy, some will be doing a little dance inside. I suspect most people don't give a monkeys
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Musto Skiff and Solo sailor
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boatshed
Far too distracted from work 
Joined: 12 Apr 05 Online Status: Offline Posts: 457 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 10:59am |
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RS300 will drop to into the late 970s or bang on 980. The Laser 1 will get slower.
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Steve
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Rupert
Really should get out more
Joined: 11 Aug 04 Location: Whitefriars sc Online Status: Offline Posts: 8956 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 11:03am |
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Me too. Phantom up by 5, Solo down by 10, Laser up yet again by silly amounts, Zero and Aero drop as people learn to sail them (or maybe up as muppets buy them!) Supersofa drops by 5 or 10 as new hulls do well.
Doublehanders mostly drop as few new boats are selling and cheap old boats are snapped up by beginners to racing. PY bandit of the year the Laser II. |
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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
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Cirrus
Really should get out more
Joined: 29 Oct 15 Location: UK Online Status: Offline Posts: 590 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 11:12am |
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A reasonable forward indicator is the Great Lakes numbers imo. PN numbers now seem to be 'following' and every year more and more major events going for GL .... not surprising as the GL approach was very possibly the result of ... eerm 'PN's limitations' (a very seperate discussion of course !)
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RS400atC
Really should get out more
Joined: 04 Dec 08 Online Status: Offline Posts: 3011 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 11:12am |
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I expect the same flawed data-munging will produce similar changes to the RS400 PY as it's done for the past few years. I expect another drop of 2 to 4 points.
Other classes? Solo likely to drop a bit as a lot of good people sailing them. |
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JimC
Really should get out more
Joined: 17 May 04 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 6662 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 11:33am |
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An interesting exercise would be to compare the weather for 2012 (which drops off the calculations) with 2015 which comes onto them.
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RS400atC
Really should get out more
Joined: 04 Dec 08 Online Status: Offline Posts: 3011 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 12:17pm |
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Our 2015 went a bit limp due to missing a load of autumn series races when it was very windy. So our returns will be slanted towards the light winds that we actually sailed! |
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iGRF
Really should get out more
Joined: 07 Mar 11 Location: Hythe Online Status: Offline Posts: 6499 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 12:36pm |
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I'm hoping ours and Redoubts results don't undo the Solution trend to parallel the Laser which is already becoming an absurd Bandit on the sea. I'd also like to see the Phantom back around 1005 -10.
It's been a Contender windy season for us, on our system it recommends losing 100 pts, they'd love that  Edited by iGRF - 27 Jan 16 at 12:37pm |
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sargesail
Really should get out more
Joined: 14 Jan 06 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 1459 |
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Posted: 27 Jan 16 at 11:59pm |
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Whereas we raced in lots of that big breeze....thank goodness not everyone did or the PYs would be coming down for my craft!
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