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Is there a better way of setting an initial PY?

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iGRF View Drop Down
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    Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:00pm
Originally posted by boatshed


What part of Starcross Yacht Club on the Exe Estuary and Paignton Sailing Club Torbay are not coastal ?


Come on, now far be it from me to speak in any derogatory way about Sailing clubs and venues but I've sailed both of those and you can hardly call them 'coastal' in the true sense, one is a river, the other a very sheltered bay.
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Oli View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Oli Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:20pm
haha i did think about shortening the response but i hear short jokes are a sore subject...

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Post Options Post Options   Quote kneewrecker Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:13pm
Originally posted by Oli

Originally posted by iGRF

Originally posted by boatshed


Originally posted by iGRF

If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.

It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.


All those boats are high wind trapeze types.   A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not  only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water.   The Icon will do even better.  As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge  ? A Olympic medalist ?  Or a  competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ?   At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit.


But don't you see, you're making exactly the point. We all know the handicap will not be correct across all conditions, but it needs to be averagely 'fair' it's why the system is currently screwed up. Take the Phantom as a prime example, it has been quite literally trashed off the face of existence by the inlanders, Why? because it's being used to its strengths constantly and there is not enough data from regions where it is weak. i.e. On the sea in open water where it can't punch through the waves to come even close to a Laser or Contender given sailors of approximate even standard.

So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts and virtually ensure it never will with an EN number like that, it's not logical, it's not what the system is supposed to do. Until you cap the stats and take an even sample from a variety of venues you will not get an average.

Or you opt for the physical data, build a formula from what the decades of knowledge some of you must have and start from that.

But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out.

The tool is there [snip]

you could have saved a bit of bandwidth and finger strain with a response to Grumpf on handicaps....
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Oli Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 2:03pm
Originally posted by iGRF

Originally posted by boatshed


Originally posted by iGRF

If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.

It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.


All those boats are high wind trapeze types.   A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not  only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water.   The Icon will do even better.  As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge  ? A Olympic medalist ?  Or a  competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ?   At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit.


But don't you see, you're making exactly the point. We all know the handicap will not be correct across all conditions, but it needs to be averagely 'fair' it's why the system is currently screwed up. Take the Phantom as a prime example, it has been quite literally trashed off the face of existence by the inlanders, Why? because it's being used to its strengths constantly and there is not enough data from regions where it is weak. i.e. On the sea in open water where it can't punch through the waves to come even close to a Laser or Contender given sailors of approximate even standard.

So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts and virtually ensure it never will with an EN number like that, it's not logical, it's not what the system is supposed to do. Until you cap the stats and take an even sample from a variety of venues you will not get an average.

Or you opt for the physical data, build a formula from what the decades of knowledge some of you must have and start from that.

But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out.

The tool is there in the pys site to adjust your handicaps locally, thus overcoming the complication you're worried about, dual score your season to see what happens..... then implement it when you are confident.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote jeffers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 12:36pm
Originally posted by kneewrecker

he's only in it for the parking space....

Big smile LOL

Paul
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Post Options Post Options   Quote kneewrecker Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:58am
he's only in it for the parking space....
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Post Options Post Options   Quote jeffers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:48am
Originally posted by iGRF

 But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out.

Then as Commodore of a sailing club that does not send a return I do hope you will address this and at least do a paper return this year if not the full works via the PYS site.

This will help with the 'imbalance' of data.
Paul
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Post Options Post Options   Quote boatshed Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 10:06am
Originally posted by iGRF

So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts


What part of Starcross Yacht Club on the Exe Estuary and Paignton Sailing Club Torbay are not coastal ?  

FWIW, I have a hunch the Icon will sail better in coastal waters than it does on inland puddles.

I'm out, as they say in Dragon's Den due to GRF's sophistry.  

All this distracts from the fact that Mike has delivered a great 21st C double hander which clearly has it's roots in the Tasar/NS14.  I hope it gets the success it deserves.   It should be marketed as a quick, modern and simple one design.    The PY will sort it's self out as numbers build.   
Steve
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Post Options Post Options   Quote iGRF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 9:47am
Originally posted by boatshed


Originally posted by iGRF

If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.

It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.


All those boats are high wind trapeze types.   A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not  only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water.   The Icon will do even better.  As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge  ? A Olympic medalist ?  Or a  competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ?   At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit.


But don't you see, you're making exactly the point. We all know the handicap will not be correct across all conditions, but it needs to be averagely 'fair' it's why the system is currently screwed up. Take the Phantom as a prime example, it has been quite literally trashed off the face of existence by the inlanders, Why? because it's being used to its strengths constantly and there is not enough data from regions where it is weak. i.e. On the sea in open water where it can't punch through the waves to come even close to a Laser or Contender given sailors of approximate even standard.

So you take a boat that hasn't even made it to coastal resorts and virtually ensure it never will with an EN number like that, it's not logical, it's not what the system is supposed to do. Until you cap the stats and take an even sample from a variety of venues you will not get an average.

Or you opt for the physical data, build a formula from what the decades of knowledge some of you must have and start from that.

But allowing a computer system to simply act on data imbalance is madness, there's an old adage about computer generated data - Rubbish in = Rubbish out.
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boatshed View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote boatshed Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 Jul 14 at 9:28am
Originally posted by iGRF

If it is 969 then that makes it faster than a 470s, RS500s, Contenders, Fireballs, I'm looking forward to someone actually demonstrating that.

It's bollox, they're wrong and using data from hotshots proves nothing, good hot shots could sail a shed and give it a fast handicap.




All those boats are high wind trapeze types.   A good National 12 will sail rings round them in the lighter stuff, not  only beating them on handicap but beat some of them over the water.   The Icon will do even better.  As has pointed out, the Tasar is a bit iffy in the light stuff and this has been fixed in the Icon.

I'm not sure what your definition of a hotshot is ?? Nathan Outteridge  ? A Olympic medalist ?  Or a  competent, amateur club and open meeting sailor ?   At what level of competence do you want to exclude their results from the data ?

If the Starcross Icon had been given a rating of 1000, it would have won by even more and then immediately been classified, by you, as a bandit.










Steve
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