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Dinghies in 2035

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    Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 9:22pm
All very dependent on where (1) the global economy goes and (2) what Brexit delivers. Too hard to predict. Right now it doesn't feel good. In 2035, I think dinghy sailing in the UK will have become irrelevant as a proper competitive sport. Far fewer people will have enough money to buy new boats, filtering down to the 2nd hand market, where again people won't be spending their money on boats. I think it will become a niche pastime as it was in the 1930's an 40's. And I don't see anything happening with the "sailing authorities", classes and clubs doing anything much to deal with all that.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Sam.Spoons Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 8:25pm
There will be thousands of Lasers, maybe not sailing, but, like cockroaches, they will inhabit every boat park, garden, hedgerow and garage. Post apocalypse they will be the only dinghy to survive.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 8:15pm
I predict boats like the X one design, West Wight Scow and Salcome Yawl will still be around. Firefly, Solo, Laser, probably. Aero, not sure. Longevity of hulls matters, even if older boats aren't truly competitive at all levels.
Merlins, Moths, 14s, I'd think so. Maybe Moths will have taken another step towards flying and will have left the water completely!
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Post Options Post Options   Quote 423zero Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 8:10pm
The tech' will shout duck when boom comes across  LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Quote KazRob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 8:07pm
Originally posted by 423zero

Think more technology, perhaps automatic sail setting, you only need to steer.
 
Like a motor boat you mean  Smile
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Post Options Post Options   Quote 423zero Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 7:49pm
Think more technology, perhaps automatic sail setting, you only need to steer.
Robert
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Post Options Post Options   Quote JimC Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 7:07pm
I note from subsequent posts my predictions were 2029 rather than 2019. Am not pushing up daisies yet, but ability to sail performance boats severely curtailed.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote KazRob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 5:59pm
I think we’ll still be sailing very similar boats as we have been. Yep there will be new, easier to use foiling classes to come, but the old adage that it’s easy design a boat but it’s much harder to build a class inevitably comes into play.
The other consideration is where is being discussed. The UK has always loved new classes so I’m sure we’ll see another dozen classes at least, but other sailing countries can be much less fickle and tend to stick with more established classes.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote sargesail Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 4:52pm
I currently work in foresight. I have drawn up the outline of some scenarios for UK society, economy, climate et al for a deep future, with a view to examining some alternative futures for the sport. I need to find the time to flesh that work out and then see how it would affect thinks like our choice of craft.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote ian.r.mcdonald Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 19 at 4:24pm
Originally posted by H2

When I think about what may happen in the future I find it hard to de-link what has happened in the past - I mean when I was sailing in the 80's and 90's I would have bet you a lot of money that classes like the Solo would certainly have disappeared by now. Its seemed hopeless outdated and only appealing to old men and yet here we are and its more popular than ever! Its great that you could say that about a number of classes that have fallen out of popularity and then come back, a number spring to mind.
I do think we will continue to see a gradual shift toward singlehanders as people find it harder to secure crews and I think we will see consolidation around builders or marketing companies (i.e. RS) who are big enough to survive in a shrinking pot of sales.


Let's hope the current discussions ( made with good intentions) on changes to the Solo dont damage it's current position
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