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Chris 249 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: 2016 events?
    Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 12:25am
Originally posted by turnturtle

Define the market Chris?  Are you referring to what people are racing or what people are buying?

According to the classes guide in Y&Y only 8 new Miracles and 10 new Herons were launched in 2010.  Unfortunately Mssrs Rooster and LaserP failed to show any new boat stats for the Graduate and Vago... however if I were a betting man I'd put money on the Vago outselling all three of the traditional classes combined, I think 3 new ones showed up in my little cotswolds club this year alone.

The Vago is an example of a modern entry level asymmetric boat, simple to sail, simple to get great fun out of... holiday companies aren't stupid even if their reps sometimes lead you to think otherwise!  The Vago is still significantly faster and has a lot more in common with skiff racing than the traditional classes I cite above- sub 1100 on PY.  Okay you and I can appreciate the sophistication (or lack of) with the Vago, however for a newbie is it really that important?  It's taken me a long time to realise it, but all that 'plastic fantastic' bashing is/was very stupid and misplaced... it discourages what newbies are actually investing in, forcing them off the race course into leisure-only sailing (hence why the Vago still only has an EN) and by continually palming off our old crappy archaic boats as 'real race boats', we are doing a disservice to the future of sailing, albeit protecting our individual investments... jesus, people really expect their sailing to come for free, selling an old knacker for the same price they paid for it 4 years ago.... 

Accessibility, low cost of entry & simple courses with simple rules... that's the future of dinghy racing for joe public, well it is if we want to enjoy reasonable participation levels anyway.  Having a mens and womens skiff in the Olympics represents the pinnacle of this model... ISAF have it right.

Sure, simple, cheap polyethylene boats may well be the future.  It's always been cheap, simple boats that have made the sport more popular, which becomes very obvious if you graph the popularity of the sport against the speed of the boats.

The Vago, though, isn't much quicker than an old boat like the 420, and its success shows that speed isn't important IMHO.  What does count(like you say) is accessibility. 

The only things I'd say is (1) that if people choose to sail old classes, good on them. 

(2) I can't see how the skiffs represent accessible, cheap racing with simple courses and rules.  The boats are inherently expensive (more RM = more stress, more sail area = more stress, more sail area = more $$), arguably inherently more complicated, inherently harder to sail in many ways.  


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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 12:34am
Originally posted by a_dowley


The problem that ISAF have is that the IOC want action and interesting racing so they can sell more tickets and make more money. If ISAF don't move to more interesting and quick boats which look good on TV then sailing is dead and out of the Olympics.


The IOC OPC also wants sailing to be more widespread.  Going to classes that are less widespread is therefore going directly against the IOC's wants.

Putting the cat back in is great. Having a skiff type is great. Having an over-representation of fast boats which are proven less popular doesn't seem so great, personally.

The other point is that surely there is potential to make better vision from the slow boats.  If that means camera boats in the faces of the 470 sailors, so be it - plenty of sports have to put up with similar distractions.  The ratings success of flat-water rowing and kayaking and swimming seem to demonstrate that you don't need speed and spray to get ratings, as long as you can get in fairly close.


Edited by Chris 249 - 18 Nov 10 at 11:14am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote blueboy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 3:57am
Originally posted by JimC

The challenge for smaller countries is quite different. They need enough reasonably local competition for sailors to get to a standard good enough to make it worth spending the money on going to the big events, and no matter what we think of the 470 in the UK it has supplied that, and historically has been, with the Laser, heavily supported by the smaller countries. Going to a style of boat that noone has seen seems, for instance, a funny way to expand sailing in Africa, which was one of the sport's key problems in the last IOC report I read.


So has the presence of two 470 classes in the Olympics in fact advanced the progress of sailing in Africa? The answer appears to be no. Continuing to do the same thing in the hope of changed outcome is rarely a winning strategy.

Promotion of grass-roots sailing in less developed countries needs cheap and robust boats, which is scarcely a description of the 470. There's no match between the requirements for such a class and the requirements for the Olympics. They are two different things and conflating them is a mistake.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote blueboy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 4:07am
Originally posted by Chris 249

The IOC OPC also wants sailing to be more widespread.


Doesn't actually. What they want is for Olympic competitors to come from a wider range of countries, which is a much more modest goal.

You are assuming a model where lots of people in country X sail class Y and the best of them go on to sail Y in the Olympics. That's simplistic at two levels. Firstly you don't need people sailing in country X at all. There's nothing very unusual about ex-pats or ex-pat trained athletes representing their country in specialised sports. Think Jamaican Bob-sleigh team, for example. Secondly, if you've got a domestic sailing scene it doesn't have to be class Y. It can be something else entirely, which is how the British system works. Apart from the Laser no Olympics classes have significant GBR classes. It doesn't matter.


Edited by blueboy - 18 Nov 10 at 4:08am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote gladwell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 4:39am
If you read the OC report you will see that there were, I think four 470's from Asia competing in the 2008 Olympics in the mens event, a couple from Oceania and the majority came out of Europe.

If you look at sailing in Oceania, you would know that the people in the Islands are struggling to get competitive in a boat like the Laser and maybe Windsurfer. Suggesting that a boat as technical as the 470 is a good option for developing countries is just a nonsense. If they were to have a two-hander then it needs to be a supplied SMOD that can be sailed by average weight people.

If we could get several countries up and running from Oceania and Africa plus Asia in the Windsurfer and Laser it would be a big and achievable advance.

The regional imbalance in qualification, as identified in the OC report, needs to be addressed, and is much more important than a second doublehander 470 or otherwise. Theer is also no intention to run a simplified 470 either, from what I am told by those very close to the action.

RG


Edited by gladwell - 18 Nov 10 at 4:41am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote JimC Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 10:12am
Originally posted by blueboy

Promotion of grass-roots sailing in less developed countries needs cheap and robust boats, which is scarcely a description of the 470.


Originally posted by gladwell


Suggesting that a boat as technical as the 470 is a good option for developing countries is just a nonsense. If they were to have a two-hander then it needs to be a supplied SMOD that can be sailed by average weight people.


All good points, and I hold no brief for the 470: I've sailed them and reckon they are the sailing equivalent of supermarket white sliced bread (for those of you not in the UK this is a substance closely related to cotton wool). However in the last round I was impressed by the number of submissions from smaller countries in support of retaining the class. I haven't got round to reading everything this time so I'm rather underinformed, especially compared to someone like RG.

There is, though, no situation so bad that it can't be made worse and replacing the two 470 classes with a mixed 470 and a Women's skiff looks to me rather likely to do exactly that in terms of these issues.

I'd like to have seen the 470 class rules sorted out to make the things made more durable and the class move to a single master plug and rather tighter construction and fit out rules to seriously address costs, but if its just going to be one medal then its scarecely worth it...
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 10:53am
Originally posted by blueboy

Continuing to do the same thing in the hope of changed outcome is rarely a winning strategy.

But for the last couple of Games we've had kite-carrying cats, skiffs and boards, and the viewing figures haven't been very good.  So isn't having kite-carrying cats, skiffs and boards for 2016 pretty much doing the same thing???

The "let's get fast boats and we'll gets lots of TV" concept has been going since the '70s, when the PYRA failed to get going.  We've had Ultras, Ultimates, ProSail H20s and GO OD 14s, Formula 40s, Prosail 40s, Formula One monos, GP 18 Foot Skiffs Mk1, GP 18 Foot Skiffs Mk 2, the stillborn 49er GP, the stillborn Moth foiler pro series, a UK I-14 series, and a few more I've forgotten..... plus of course the 2004 & 2008 Olympic kite-carrying cats and skiffs.

None of these has succeeded.  So since, as you say, continuing the same thing in the hope of changed outcomes is rarely successful, should we assume that suddenly something is going to change and the concept will suddenly start becoming viable?


Promotion of grass-roots sailing in less developed countries needs cheap and robust boats, which is scarcely a description of the 470. There's no match between the requirements for such a class and the requirements for the Olympics. They are two different things and conflating them is a mistake.

But doesn't the success of the Laser show that they are NOT always two different things?  The Laser is a successful grass-roots class AND a successful Olympic class.  So isn't that proof that you can conflate the two?

So why not create a new Laser-like crewed dinghy? All the indications are that such a boat would be much more popular and widespread (according to the IOC OPC criteria for Olympic disciplines) than a skiff, because skiffs aren't very popular or widespread even in Australia where they are massively subsidised.





Edited by Chris 249 - 18 Nov 10 at 11:50am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 10:56am
Originally posted by gladwell

If you read the OC report you will see that there were, I think four 470's from Asia competing in the 2008 Olympics in the mens event, a couple from Oceania and the majority came out of Europe.

If you look at sailing in Oceania, you would know that the people in the Islands are struggling to get competitive in a boat like the Laser and maybe Windsurfer. Suggesting that a boat as technical as the 470 is a good option for developing countries is just a nonsense. If they were to have a two-hander then it needs to be a supplied SMOD that can be sailed by average weight people.

If we could get several countries up and running from Oceania and Africa plus Asia in the Windsurfer and Laser it would be a big and achievable advance.

The regional imbalance in qualification, as identified in the OC report, needs to be addressed, and is much more important than a second doublehander 470 or otherwise. Theer is also no intention to run a simplified 470 either, from what I am told by those very close to the action.

RG


As Jim said while I was writing a post, not many people here are arguing specifically for the 470 as it is today.  The point is not that the 470 should be saved, but that the crewed dinghy - arguably the most popular form of adult's racing centreboard boat - should be better represented than the crewed skiff, which may be the least popular form of adult's racing centreboard boat.


Edited by Chris 249 - 18 Nov 10 at 11:57am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 11:03am
Originally posted by turnturtle

Originally posted by Chris 249



(2) I can't see how the skiffs represent accessible, cheap racing with simple courses and rules.  The boats are inherently expensive (more RM = more stress, more sail area = more stress, more sail area = more $$), arguably inherently more complicated, inherently harder to sail in many ways.  



Hi Chris,

For clarity's sake, I'm not trying to say skiffs (true skiffs are easier); however their 'pathway' boats are easier, simpler and better value for money when new.

- A Feva is faster and easier to sail than a Cadet or Mirror

- A Vago is faster and easier to sail than a GP14 or 470

These are good examples of entry level boats that lend themselves to simple, fun racing that can encourage all levels and abilities on to the club race track.  




Yep, sounds good to me; I didn't get the meaning because from where I come from, the Feva/Vago etc aren't in the skiff pathway.  The skiff pathway here is made up of more complex and faster boats.  Interestingly, the pathway works where the club works and the pathway doesn't work where the club doesn't work, which underlines that success is not a matter of what type of "senior" class the club has. 

That is, the number of juniors and teens that you generate at a club appears to have no relationship to whether that club has a "cool" ultra-high performance class to aspire to, which seems to show that there's no screaming need for such a class.  My club lost its skiff-type classes a few years back and our boat numbers have increased since then.

As a model for the future, those simple, PE tough boats seem fantastic.  That's probably where the future of the sport lies, to a much greater extent than in fast boats. I push the Feva idea a bit at our club and was interested to see that even the biggest Skiff club around now has a bunch of Fevas.

If we had more of those boats being promoted, we'd probably have more sailors and therefore the high performance classes would probably be a lot stronger, and that would be wonderful to see.


Edited by Chris 249 - 18 Nov 10 at 12:00pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Chris 249 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Nov 10 at 11:24am
Originally posted by blueboy

Originally posted by Chris 249

The IOC OPC also wants sailing to be more widespread.


Doesn't actually. What they want is for Olympic competitors to come from a wider range of countries, which is a much more modest goal.

"Wants sailing to be more widespread" is a convenient shorthand for the requirements of the IOC sports criteria paper.  Sailing lacks worldwide spread at Olympic/world ranking/qualification/world title level according to the IOC OPC, which is pretty much what was said.

You are assuming a model where lots of people in country X sail class Y and the best of them go on to sail Y in the Olympics. That's simplistic at two levels. Firstly you don't need people sailing in country X at all. There's nothing very unusual about ex-pats or ex-pat trained athletes representing their country in specialised sports. Think Jamaican Bob-sleigh team, for example. Secondly, if you've got a domestic sailing scene it doesn't have to be class Y. It can be something else entirely, which is how the British system works. Apart from the Laser no Olympics classes have significant GBR classes. It doesn't matter.


I'm not assuming that - I come from a place with lots of 470 gold medals and Tornado medals and no 470 fleet and a very small Tornado fleet. 

However, the IOC seems to want Olympic- or international- level competition in Olympic disciplines to be done in more countries. About six of the IOC critieria, by my reckoning, refer to that.

The simple fact is that (whether you count or ignore Olympic classes) skiffs are LESS popular and LESS widespread than crewed dinghies.  The fact that crewed dinghies are more widespread doesn't seem to have anything to do with the Games - I don't think the Pakistani Wayfarers are there for reasons to do with the Games, for example.  But it seems that most such countries DO have crewed dinghies and they DON'T have skiffs, and therefore dumping crewed dinghies (or introducing the problematic mixed crew) will surely reduce the number of countries that satisfy IOC criterias 4,6,7, 9 and 10 for the respective discipline.  In contrast, it may improve only two or three critieria that refer to TV.

Skiffs are fantastic, but even in Australia they are only popular in one corner of the country, where they are normally heavily subsidised by club poker machines and bar sales.  Why are they suddenly going to become popular in South America, Asia, and Africa where they have basically never been seen but where dinghies are already sailed?  If they don't become popular in such areas, how do we explain to the IOC why we ignored their desire for more widespread top-level competition?






Edited by Chris 249 - 18 Nov 10 at 11:56am
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