Rossiter Pintail Mortagne sur Gironde, near Bordeaux |
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Laser 28 - Excellent example of this great design Hamble le rice |
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List classes of boat for sale |
2019 RYA PYs |
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Rupert ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 11 Aug 04 Location: Whitefriars sc Online Status: Offline Posts: 8956 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Posted: 11 Mar 19 at 8:16am |
So, change the laser in relation to 100 other boats, or 100 other boats in relation to both the fixed point Laser and each other. Given how the Laser has moved, with plenty of evidence to back the move, that would have been a lot of big changes, with far less evidence, for the vast majority of UK classes.
Also, not really sure, beyond primary school maths, how it makes things more accurate? |
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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
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No, it would be exactly the same weight of evidence. All the evidence is relative. Clearly in absolute terms the Laser has not slowed down, in fact it has probably gotten quicker with changes to sails, masts, foils and rigging. But it would appear that it hasn’t been increasing speed as quickly as a bunch of other boats. To my mind it does make sense to fix the Laser given it has hugely more data than any other class and because it gives some sense of stability to the system. |
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![]() Top three (Laser, Solo and Radial) dominate the returns. |
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![]() PY changes tend to be smaller with more samples, as you would expect. |
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![]() Shows the number of racers (ie number of races times number of crew). Two man boats (green dots) are still getting a lot of people on the water. Y axis is plotted as a log scale. |
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iGRF ![]() Really should get out more ![]() ![]() Joined: 07 Mar 11 Location: Hythe Online Status: Offline Posts: 6499 |
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Rupert, everyone knows it can never be accurate, but its primarily about interboat relationships. So to more accurately represent that there has to be a fixed point, the people that designed the system in the first place understood that. The fact is, it is a time based system. Time hasn't changed, Many of the boats haven't changed, but the other factor which is distance and more importantly the type of distance has I'm going to suggest and quite dramatically. So you have 'drift' of the relationships dependant on venues where the data is accumulated. That is increasingly apparent with the effect the great lakes numbers are having on the system as it has swayed towards larger water which favours the faster boats, so smaller boats like the laser need their yardsticks varied accordingly. Whereas in the real world relatively narrow groups of us use the system without a huge disparity between fast and slow classes, many lakes have a cap on handicap, so fixing the Laser would bring stability at least to that section and there wouldn't be the increasing drift of the whole edifice aimlessly wandering back and forth. Time is fixed, distance actually remains pretty much un changed, the boats themselves don't alter dramatically, all that changes is the type of distance and the skills of the returnees which basically corrupts the system. So something needs to anchor it in reality, which fixing at least one boat would, maybe even choose a fast boat like an RS400 and fix that also. Edited by iGRF - 11 Mar 19 at 10:25am |
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Rupert ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 11 Aug 04 Location: Whitefriars sc Online Status: Offline Posts: 8956 |
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Back in the day of paper returns, numbers rarely changed. What we have seen with the Laser, at least with the big changes early on, is the boat being given a handicap which actually reflects how fast it is. The clubs I was at, the nettings I did, it was very rare for even the best sailed Lasers to win events. Now, I gather that it is as possible in a Laser as in any other boat.
So, we could have fixed the Laser at 1078. When returns proved that to be unkind, every other boat handicap, whether records showed it to be fair against non-lasers, would have had to be adjusted. Or just start again, I suppose, call the Laser 1000 (or 100, or 10000, I suppose) and fix it. But maybe there was a reason to move away from this in the first place? I'm not sure how numbers of returns affects this. It simply makes the changes to the Laser more accurate, so all the more reason to move it. It doesn't affect the fact that moving 99 other handicaps to allow for one static number is going to cause more headaches at club level. Graphs are lovely, but we are dealing with people. |
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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
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Ain’t that the truth. Arguably though, that’s the point. No class of boat in reality gets slower, yet PYs go up. That is counter intuitive. In fact they are going up either because a. they were wrongly assessed in the first place or b. Other boats have got faster but this is reflected in raising other boats PY rather than reducing the quicker boat’s PY.
Not much to get fussed by this year, but I support Mozzy’s 800 for 800 campaign, especially as I’ve done a bit of 2000 sailing this winter! |
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Sam.Spoons ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 07 Mar 12 Location: Manchester UK Online Status: Offline Posts: 3400 |
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So you'd be in favour of a 2000 for the 2000 campaign then?
![]() Edited by Sam.Spoons - 11 Mar 19 at 11:37am |
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Spice 346 "Flat Broke"
Blaze 671 "supersonic soap dish" |
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Rupert ![]() Really should get out more ![]() Joined: 11 Aug 04 Location: Whitefriars sc Online Status: Offline Posts: 8956 |
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Not seen the 800 for 800 campaign. Didn't realise we could lobby for a great sounding yardstick! RS 100 kinda stuffed, isn't it?
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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
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