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The predictability of PYAG

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Rupert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: The predictability of PYAG
    Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:00am
9.46, I thought.

Agree, doubling the numbers would have been a better method. That would have meant a movement of 5 on the current system would have been about 1 point, which is where we might start seeing changes in results.
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turnturtle View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote turnturtle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:01am
Originally posted by JimC

The worst part of the 4 digit numbers is people make such a huge fuss over a 10 point change but wouldn't over a 1 point one.

and don't you feel very silly when you actually get a calculator out and sit down and work those sub-10 point changes out over a typical  *insert your class* vs *insert class of similar craft rival* 60 minute race...  Embarrassed


Edited by turnturtle - 08 Mar 16 at 9:01am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote L123456 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:08am
Originally posted by iGRF

The Laser should be fixed and everything pivot about it,

I bet you are one of those people who want speakers that go up to 11 ...
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Alistair426 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:16am
Mostly less than one duff tack or shift missed. 


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Post Options Post Options   Quote AlexM Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:20am
Originally posted by Alistair426

Mostly less than one duff tack or shift missed. 


Or a boat actually starting on time and not 20/30 seconds after the gun went
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:27am
I can see GRFs point about leaving the Laser alone and moving everything else relative to it, which was done way back with the Firefly at 100, right up to the point where I actually start to think about the race times that come in to the system. If the timings are showing that the Laser has been sailed 4/1095 slower over the last 3 rolling years, but you are leaving it the same, do you then have to shift 100 or so other classes by the same amount to keep things fair?

More broadly, I still don't get the Laser number bashing. 10 years ago, it was common knowledge that Lasers did badly in handicap races, even when sailed well. Lots of reasons were given, usually revolving around the idea that there was always a better boat for the conditions, the Laser being an all rounder. Isn't it more likely that the handicap was wrong, in line with what the timings coming in from clubs are now showing?
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Post Options Post Options   Quote turnturtle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 9:59am
isn't the whole point of the mathematical model that it doesn't pivot around one class or another?
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Post Options Post Options   Quote maxibuddah Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 10:02am
What does it matter what happens with a py system. Whatever anyone comes up with to replace the incumbent system, someone will moan about it
Everything I say is my opinion, honest
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Post Options Post Options   Quote maxibuddah Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 10:07am
If you can see a better solution grf, what is it. Spell it out, and if it looks like it will settle all of the issues with handicap racing without being overly complicated then I'm sure you'll get the support you need to try and replace what's already there. I'm sorry but I don't have the intellect to come up with some mathematical method of doing otherwise to help, but I suspect lots on here do, especially peaky who's got nothing else to do in the Premier inn at night.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote iGRF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Mar 16 at 10:14am
Peaky already offered the solution, which could be automated, it would still be wrong, but at least there would be some logic to its' wrongness, not the anarchic crapfest they have at the moment and there would be a fixed pivot point.

The Laser centered at 600 to ease the maths and everything rejigged and pivoting about it, personally I'd rather see the 'peaky' number system offered for new boats rather than 'them' issuing an EN, new classes punch their length width, sail area, displacement, into the machine and it spits out an initial number, so what if you can design something to fit, it'll get hammered later by returns if that is still the favoured route to correction.

Edited by iGRF - 08 Mar 16 at 10:16am
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