New Posts New Posts RSS Feed: The Olympic Curse
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Register Register  Login Login

The Olympic Curse

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 34567>
Author
Rupert View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 11 Aug 04
Location: Whitefriars sc
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 8956
Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: The Olympic Curse
    Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 4:10pm
I like questions with no answers - we can delve back into history, form opinions, set the world of sailing to rights, all from our keyboards.

Gordon, wasn't dissing the 505 or its cost - I'm sure the boats you mention cost just as much, and the dinghy world needs boats that normal (ie not sponsored) people are willing to actually spend money on. At National level, the Merlin Rocket is another to fill the niche. The fact that Olympians pop into the class for some fun shows that the skill levels are very high within the fleet (after all, many of the sailors are well known names in sailing round the world), but that is very different from the boat being on the world tour that the Olympic classes do, week in, week out.
Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
Back to Top
Brass View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 08
Location: Australia
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1151
Post Options Post Options   Quote Brass Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:50pm
Originally posted by JimC

Originally posted by Brass

Originally posted by jaydub

Certainly hasn't harmed the Fireballs not being selected as an Olympic class.

Originally posted by JimC

Another interesting question would be whether the enthusiasm with which classes pursue Olympic status is justified. Trouble is, of course, you never get to find out what would have happened...

Uh huhh?

You know, what would have happened say if the Boss had been selected rather than the 49er. Would it have been like the 505 and the Fireball - class very successful anyway - after all the 49er was already showing distinct signs that it was going to sell pre trials - or would it have been one of those classes that fades away never to be seen again? There's no way of knowing. That's what I mean by you never find out what would have happened.

I understand the point you were making.  I was trying to point out that if you can't know what would happen if an unsuccessful aspiring class had made it, you can't very well say 'it hasn't done any harm'.

I guess that the Olympic Curse proposition is that, for a class that deserves to be successful and popular, does being Olympically anointed harm or impede the class.

I suppose there is a converse about a class that does not deserve to be successful, being promoted well beyond what it deserves by being an Olympic Class.

Or, possibly classes that once were thoroughly popular and deserving being sustained long past their use-by date.
Back to Top
gordon1277 View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 10
Location: United Kingdom
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 665
Post Options Post Options   Quote gordon1277 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:32pm
Rupert
Is the 49er or Nacra 17 any cheaper and the new boats last a decent amount of time?
We used to get the top guys come and sail anyway, I can remember Nigel Buckley winning the Nationals when he was 470 world champ and Ian Walker coming to a Nationals at Mounts Bay.
A few 505 guys whent into the FD as well, John Loveday, to name but one.


Gordon
Lossc
Back to Top
JimC View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more
Avatar

Joined: 17 May 04
Location: United Kingdom
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 6662
Post Options Post Options   Quote JimC Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:30pm
Originally posted by Brass

Uh huhh?

You know, what would have happened say if the Boss had been selected rather than the 49er. Would it have been like the 505 and the Fireball - class very successful anyway - after all the 49er was already showing distinct signs that it was going to sell pre trials - or would it have been one of those classes that fades away never to be seen again? There's no way of knowing. That's what I mean by you never find out what would have happened.
Back to Top
Brass View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 08
Location: Australia
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1151
Post Options Post Options   Quote Brass Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:27pm
Originally posted by Rupert

Originally posted by JimC

Originally posted by Rupert

That is probably the closest a boat has got to the Olympics without it happening,

Lets try and think of some leading contenders and near misses...
470/Fireball is an obvious one.
49er/Laser 5 Tonner/Boss/B14
49erFX/29erXX/RS800
Soling/Etchells
what else?


The Contender is in the situation the 49er would have been in if, after all the trials and viewpoints taken, they had turned around and stuck with the FD. In my view, it puts it closer than all the others you list - they were all near (or far) misses.

However, what your list shows is that there is no simple answer - all those boats have fared differently both to each other and to the selected boats.

AIUI from the History on the Contender website, the IYRU trials were for admission of a new solo boat as an ISAF International Class, not trials for an Olympics boat.

Given that the ISAF trials criteria specifically ruled out the trapeze, surely the Contender was never going to knock off the Finn.

To be honest, Contenders are far from accessible:  I remember a lovely guy who had actually done a 505 worlds with Paul Elvstrom walking into the bar one day off a Contender:  Good day?  Yeah, Ok, thirty tacks, thirty pickles.

At least a beginner can jump into a Finn and sail the damn thing without it necessarily falling over.

I rather think the the Contenders have now settled down into a niche about equal to the International Canoe.  Maybe for Olympic Curse purposes they could be compared with the Tempest.

You guys would know better than I would, but of the face-offs JimC has listed, I would have thought the only serious trial was the Etchells v Soling (and, to be fair the Womens' Skiff trial).

Did the Fireballs seriously come out against the 470?

I can't believe that anyone would compare a B14 with a 49er.  They are a Bethwaite generation apart (well, perhaps not Frank v Julian, but at least 10 years).  Was the contest with the B14 really to replace the 470 with a modern high performance boat that wasn't quite a skiff?


Edited by Brass - 14 Aug 14 at 3:32pm
Back to Top
Brass View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 08
Location: Australia
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1151
Post Options Post Options   Quote Brass Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:16pm
Originally posted by jaydub

Certainly hasn't harmed the Fireballs not being selected as an Olympic class.

Originally posted by JimC

Another interesting question would be whether the enthusiasm with which classes pursue Olympic status is justified. Trouble is, of course, you never get to find out what would have happened...

Uh huhh?
Back to Top
Brass View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 08
Location: Australia
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1151
Post Options Post Options   Quote Brass Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 3:14pm
Originally posted by Rupert

The Olympic curse was that a class would get shedloads of money spent on it, so a mast would set you back more than a whole different boat, have a bunch of pro sailors which no weekend warrior could hope to keep up with sailing it, and so people wouldn't sail it. Oddly, it really appears to be a myth. Far more likely is that the Olympic boats were already big classes elsewhere, and the UK had boats filling that niche already. The 470, huge in France and all over Europe, really, but up against the Fireball here. The Finn big in northern Europe - actually, never really a failure here, just a small market, and the classics are going strong. The Star - huge in the Americas. The Europe - a very complex one, that, I think, and certainly the development expense (and the "sailed by girls thing?) was a problem, but mostly once it ceased to be an Olympic class. The Tempest? Killed by the Star lobby?

420 never an Olympic class? Pretty big everywhere, and still is in less fashion conscious countries. Might be here, too. Not checked.

As for the Laser, most owners appear not to care less whether it is in the Olympics. Is really only a sideshow for the class, as far as I can see, and maybe not one that either helps or hinders sales.
Thanks Rupert.  Looks like a good start.

Sorry, I had it fixed in my mind that the 420 had a one or two rounds as the Womens dinghy.

So, did the Europe and Tempest fit the Curse model?  Successful class to start with, then propelled into arms race and hyper-competition freezing out  the punters?  

Does that fit for the Europe?

I don't think that applies to the Tempest:  it was a very radical boat to start with, with, I suspect, quite a small fleet base (to say nothing of being very unlikely to have been seen anywhere in the third world) that got a brief place in the sun thanks to a desire to pitch something modern  and radical up against the Star, and then faded back into well-deserved obscurity.

Is it still true to say that there are huge fleets (or rather substantial club fleets) of 470 in Europe and UK?
Back to Top
Rupert View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 11 Aug 04
Location: Whitefriars sc
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 8956
Post Options Post Options   Quote Rupert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 1:49pm
The 505? As a rich gentleman's plaything, fortunes have been spent. Would those same rich gentlemen have been willing to spend as much money if they would then be beaten by sponsored young bucks on the hunt for Olympic glory? Maybe the FD would have been the boat of choice, then?
Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686
Back to Top
GarethT View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more
Avatar

Joined: 21 Apr 07
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 714
Post Options Post Options   Quote GarethT Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 1:26pm
Maybe it would never have got to the size it was in the UK without the Olympics!
 
Who knows if all the FD sailors back in the day would've gone 505 if FD wasn't Olympic, or if the roles would've been reversed if the 505 was the Olympic boat.
Back to Top
gordon1277 View Drop Down
Really should get out more
Really should get out more


Joined: 24 Mar 10
Location: United Kingdom
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 665
Post Options Post Options   Quote gordon1277 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 14 at 1:24pm
Nobody has mentioned the FD good job the 505 missed it.
170 at the worlds in Kiel but UK fleet has shrunk so much. UK FD fleet never really got to sensible numbers in my time.
Gordon
Lossc
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 34567>

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down

Bulletin Board Software by Web Wiz Forums® version 9.665y
Copyright ©2001-2010 Web Wiz
Change your personal settings, or read our privacy policy