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The Tasar v the Icon |
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blaze720
Really should get out more
Joined: 28 Sep 05 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 1635 |
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Topic: The Tasar v the IconPosted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:00pm |
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What is wrong with a sample of ONE boat/crew ?
Well frankly where do we start ? and for that matter why does anyone bother to teach stats at all.... So keeping it as simple as can be for a moment ..... Could I choose a single example of lets say YOUR preferred class to make a point ? Of course not - so why do you think you can do so now in this context and expect to be taken for real ? At my own club we do sail Icons off 990 despite the EN of 969 ... and on personal local handicap for me and my crew this is reduced by a further 13.3% - making something roughly equating to 860 ! We don't get excited by this however or draw knee-jerk conclusions - it really is a personal handicap on a small gravel pit. Sadly you might well think and it proves diddly squat however in statistical terms. Why on earth then would the local handicappers live with 990 for Icon then ? Might just be because some of them do have a working relationship with sampling issues and stats in their 'other' lives... Are they applying 'common sense' or are they too easily influenced and naive ? Heck I've had a great idea .. in fact a very old and repeated one. It would also be a bit more interesting than 'sailing around on keyboards' doing this stuff ;-) Why don't we all get together and swap boats for a weekend - Call it a forumites or anarchists gathering or whatever. 'You' can borrow an Icon and see what effective imaginary PN you cail sail it too ... and a few Icon crews get to try your ride and see if what effective PN they can derive from it - The 'winners' get bought lots of beer from the 'losers' but we all have a lot of fun. (The purchaser of beers to be determined by their ability or inabaility to 'beat' the 'official' numbers of course). There is moaning about prevailing EN / PN numbers and there are surely legitimate queries about a system that produces them and will continue to produce them ... We can surely all do a little bit better. Mike L. For the record the 'approachable RYA' have not (yet) responded on two seperate occasions to emails plus phone calls from us quering PN policy with regard to new class introductions - even to say 'nothing doing' . The RYA still seems keen however to collect class affiliation fees - even from new classes. |
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iGRF
Really should get out more
Joined: 07 Mar 11 Location: Hythe Online Status: Offline Posts: 6499 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:01pm |
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The Yardstick system was never aimed at top sailors over achieving, it was aimed at us, desk jockeys to race for beer money on as even a playing field as possible.
Y'all are f**king it up. No argument that is the fact of the matter and all that data does id prove my point, if it isn't bloody sail juice creating a pseudo Pro Am circuit for sail jockeys, it's now inland hotshots with clearly nothing better to do than dumb down to make themselves look whatever, it can't be credible, it's hardly a technical boat with any image credibility other than as a poster boat for sex wax. Edited by iGRF - 29 Jul 14 at 5:11pm |
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2547
Really should get out more
Joined: 11 Aug 11 Online Status: Offline Posts: 1151 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:04pm |
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I think the crux here is this ... stop blaming the tools and have a good look at the "craftsmen" ... The RS100 nationals result gives us a fair view of the ability of this "craftsmen"
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iGRF
Really should get out more
Joined: 07 Mar 11 Location: Hythe Online Status: Offline Posts: 6499 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:08pm |
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So what are you saying f**kwit, nobody is allowed to sail or have an opinion unless they are 'top sailors"? Elitism - kills every time. Why can't us desk jockeys and under achievers come out to play with you 'good people' ? Sailing should be inclusive, it shouldn't matter back or front of the fleet, everyone should be welcome. And here we had the perfect tool for us screwed about by folk who really shouldn't be sailing it if they are that good. You can see what happened to the RS100 with that attitude, how many were there? 12 left? But at least they won't have any desk jockeys to time out and laugh at, they've sorted that out for themselves.. Edited by iGRF - 29 Jul 14 at 5:14pm |
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marke
Far too distracted from work
Joined: 16 Jun 08 Location: United Kingdom Online Status: Offline Posts: 211 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:13pm |
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Mike
I am well aware of statistics - basically make my living doing some quite complex statistical algorithms. At no point did I say the Starcross icon should be the reference point for the national class EN. I simply said that at Starcross sailing against equally good sailors from other classes and applying a crew skill factor adjustment tried and tested over ten years that 969 doesn't look to be wildly out of whack. It was a response from the lack of data from anywhere else - apart from the odd anecdotal evidence. Tom has just given another data point so make sure that gets in to the PYS to balance ours. Still struggling to understand the marketing approach. |
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2547
Really should get out more
Joined: 11 Aug 11 Online Status: Offline Posts: 1151 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:17pm |
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Err ... your argument seems to be if you cant sail a boat to its PY then they PY is wrong ... I am just pointing out that maybe ... just maybe it is the sailor who is below average in this case.
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boatshed
Far too distracted from work
Joined: 12 Apr 05 Online Status: Offline Posts: 457 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:20pm |
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It is and they are. Some clubs are very good at welcoming new members. The average club racing boat is beer money. You don't even have to own a boat to sail and join in. Quite what this has to do with the Icon handicap, I'm not sure. |
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Steve
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iiitick
Far too distracted from work
Joined: 04 Jun 14 Location: gb Online Status: Offline Posts: 478 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:26pm |
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I really cannot understand this.....At my club we are Supernova lead, we have more of those than anything else. We then have Lightning, Byte, Phantom, GP, all these boats sail regularly. Some people moan, particularly one of the Phantom sailors who is now sailing off 1002 but the old PY flattered him.
No one complains when one particular sailor wins because he has proved how good he is. We all know where we are in the great scheme of club racing. We have 5 pursuit races every year for which we use personal handicaps calculated from results on our own water. So 5 times a year we all get a chance and the results vary wildly unlike everyday sailing. The only person to complain is the constantly winning sailor who feels he has little chance of winning....but he still tries. |He cannot really complain because the 'computer never lies'. It's only club racing (that thing you do before the pub) after all. If you are looking for 'fair' buy a road base. |
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boatshed
Far too distracted from work
Joined: 12 Apr 05 Online Status: Offline Posts: 457 |
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 5:33pm |
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I like Mike's marketing approach which says to me "try the boat, you might like it". And he appears to be generous with his time and use of boats. I think he is of the "under sell and over deliver" school of selling. No bad thing in my book. |
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Steve
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Guests
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Posted: 29 Jul 14 at 6:05pm |
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The Icon is a delightfully simple and rewarding boat to sail, whatever it's handicap. It can carry a wide range of crew sizes and is as good on a puddle as it is on the sea.
It is faster than a 200 and slower than a 400. But you can still get beaten over the water by a 200 and still beat a 400. |
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