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Icon, Alto, XO, PYAG & sport decline linked?

Printed From: Yachts and Yachting Online
Category: Dinghy classes
Forum Name: Dinghy development
Forum Discription: The latest moves in the dinghy market
URL: http://www.yachtsandyachting.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=12796
Printed Date: 05 Jul 25 at 12:19am
Software Version: Web Wiz Forums 9.665y - http://www.webwizforums.com


Topic: Icon, Alto, XO, PYAG & sport decline linked?
Posted By: iGRF
Subject: Icon, Alto, XO, PYAG & sport decline linked?
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 11:25am
So, following the mention in the niche thread, the general decline in double handers, how much of a part in the demise of the Alto, the Icon and the XO did the PYAG play?

Clearly not the only reason for the decline in the sport, but....


Everyone agrees double handers are the best route to encourage newcomers into the sport, so has the defensive attitude of the Fireball Merlin <insert other museum piece class> class and the PYAG played a part in the restriction of growth of new double hander classes?

Or is something else to blame?

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Replies:
Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 11:38am
Ben Ainslie doesn't sail double handers, he's clearly the main reason, not the PYAG.  


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 11:43am
Well here's a thing, how many more Icons would have sold had they not killed it dead with their malicious and savage attack?

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 11:48am
Originally posted by iGRF

Well here's a thing, how many more Icons would have sold had they not killed it dead with their malicious and savage attack?

none - not when there's fantastic class racing in N12 & RS200s for lighter weight combos and 400s and Merlins for medium weights.   (And that's excluding all the other machinations of great double handed racing boats like Miracles, GP14s, Albacores, Ents, International 14s etc)

Edit: sorry forgot the Fireball, how can I forget this classic fantastic racing machine!!!


Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 12:00pm
Seriously, it's a bit of a pity that the RYA don't do Grumpf for unsportsmanlike conduct for his repeated abuse of volunteers. Or perhaps he just needs a defamation action that could cost him his house or something.

One thing that shows that his allegations are stupid and not just vicious and childish is the fact that he has repeatedly whined how PYs should be based on a measurement formula, and when a measurement formula showed that the Icon's PY was reasonable he ignored it.





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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: Bootscooter
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 12:22pm
As someone who raced the fantastic Alto for a year+, I don't think the PY was far off at all.

The only reasons it didn't sell by the bucketload was because it didn't have the marketing machine to push it like RS or Laser would, and potential buyers didn't have the fluffy feeling of having a massive manufacturer's backup and ready-made circuit to race it on.

I still insist it was one of the best boats I've ever sailed, and once I've made my move to Portland I may well be looking to buy a 2nd hand one to tear around in when we're not out in the Finns.

I'd suggest that the same goes for all the classes mentioned, myself....

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Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 12:26pm
Originally posted by Chris 249


Seriously, it's a bit of a pity that the RYA don't do Grumpf for unsportsmanlike conduct for his repeated abuse of volunteers. Or perhaps he just needs a defamation action that could cost him his house or something.
One thing that shows that his allegations are stupid and not just vicious and childish is the fact that he has repeatedly whined how PYs should be based on a measurement formula, and when a measurement formula showed that the Icon's PY was reasonable he ignored it.


I think it's a pity the builders of the Icon didn't sue the RYA at the time.

And you need to wind your neck in. Cost me my house? A bit disproportionate don't you think, then again Convict stock what else would one expect?

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Posted By: JimC
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 12:41pm
Originally posted by Chris 249

a defamation action

I think suing fools is a game for the very rich or other fools. I like to think I'm not the latter and certainly am not the former.

What's more disappointing is that Y&Y have ceased to moderate his output, even when clearly in breach of their T&Cs, which is why I no longer contribute to any PY related threads, and I don't believe I'm the only one.


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 12:49pm
Moderate my output so you can all slide quietly into decline with no objections from anyone? Is that about right?

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:01pm
Originally posted by iGRF

 I think it's a pity the builders of the Icon didn't sue the RYA at the time.

on what possible grounds is there any legal precedent?  It's not like WhatCar magazine deliberating and unfairly slating the latest output from Ford/Jaguar/BMW is it?  

The PYAG / RYA aren't even enforcing handicaps, quite the contrary, they lobby clubs to adjust locally....   


Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:17pm
What killed the Icon was far from anything to do with the PYAG/RYA in my opinion.

As I know a bit of both sides of the Icon story I will keep my own counsel though.

Shame it was a lovely sail and very quick especially on a small puddle inland.


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Paul
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D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: ttc546
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:22pm
This is an interesting, but cryptic thread, for those not in the know. Perhaps, for those not familiar, could someone enlighten on the implied battle or scenario? Else the thread is pointless unless part of the chosen few....

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Posted By: Do Different
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:23pm
Another question, would anybody like to say they've bought into a Class (or not) based on the PY rather than the fit for them both physically & mentally and the waters they sail on?











Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:24pm
Originally posted by ttc546

This is an interesting, but cryptic thread, for those not in the know. Perhaps, for those not familiar, could someone enlighten on the implied battle or scenario? Else the thread is pointless unless part of the chosen few....

Grumpf feels the RYA/PYAG deliberately scuppered both boats by issuing 'unfair' PY numbers.

I am sure in his own little corner of the UK he can find support.....


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Paul
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D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:25pm
Originally posted by jeffers

I am sure in his own little corner of the UK he can find support.....

schizophrenia can be useful in an argument on the internet.....

 




Posted By: Gordon 1430
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:34pm
Sorry But I think the Icon was killed by Cirus selling the rights to Devoti who did nothing with it and then it being sold again to Rondar. They seem to have done nothing with it for now.
I am sure if Mike had kept working on it like he did with the Blaze then a small fleet would have developed as I don't think there is a huge non spinnaker fleet requirement which is not catered for by the Nat12, Firefly or Albacore.
Maybe Cirus realised this and that's why they sold the rights to get there investment back.
I think it had very little to do with the PY. 
Alto launched just when the twin wire thing really began to get going with the 800 and it was up against RS marketing. It also said originally it would use a 505 hull so I think that confused the punters as I agree it looks a nice boat.


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Gordon
Phantom 1430


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:36pm
Originally posted by ttc546

This is an interesting, but cryptic thread, for those not in the know. Perhaps, for those not familiar, could someone enlighten on the implied battle or scenario? Else the thread is pointless unless part of the chosen few....

OK, his opinion is it's not really about scuppering newcomers, it's about protecting old classes.

What he fails to grasp is that PY is not set up to rate the latest boat sailed by the best-est sailors (say, Winder Merlin with HD rig) against the latest boat (say, brand new Icon) both sailed by (insert rock star name).  It's set up to rate the results pooled by those classes including all the numps and mumpties in battered old tubs.  (although some selective stats are applied to reduce anomalies)

As such, older boats still feature (as they do in real life), and one of the reasons why older classes have a perceived handicap advantage.  

There's lots of theories, conspiracies and moaning.... but in my honest opinion, I've come to the following conclusions:

1- we all know the classes which suit our chosen waters better than those that don't.  

2- we all know the classes which have broad wind range characteristics vs those with narrower appeal

3- we all know what we weigh, how fit we are, how good we are and what type of sailing we're better at.

4- we all know how much we've got to spend and whether that buys a sh*tter or a competitive example

If you really want the best handicap you can get, rate each boat out of ten on the above four criteria and pick the one with the best combined score- I'd double the score on Point 3 and you get a combined total of 50 points.  That will be uniquely personal equation, and f**k all to do with the RYA and the suggested handicap from the PYAG.  

Edit: this is of course missing the entire point of PY, which is to enable you to sail the boat you chose in a competitive environment.  Anyone actually buying a boat for its PY alone, probably needs to evaluate what the hell they are doing, as surely class racing is the real answer to what they seek.


Posted By: The Moo
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:40pm
I see http://sailingdinghies.apolloduck.co.uk/listings.phtml?cid=928" rel="nofollow - Icon 06 is up for sale on Apollo Duck. Could be yours for under £3K


Posted By: Dougaldog
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 1:42pm
Oh dear, whatever happened to dear Mr Voltaire and his assertion that "I dislike what you say, but will defend the right you have to say it". Curtailing our freedom to take a position is a damned slippery slope and using legal threats or  some form of censorship is a worrying thought. I could well fall foul of such strictures; what we need is more bizarre posts, not less.

All the more so because once again, there is that grain of truth behind what iGRF said. Not in the days of the PYAG, but certainly back in the past there have clear cases of protectionist influences being exerted when new PYs were set, aimed at limiting the commercial attractiveness of new classes . I stress again - this is a historical comment but one that could still be said to have an impact today. The Great Lakes PY setters 'might' be loath today to let a new class sail off an overly beneficial PY and who could blame them! Like the PYAG, they are damned if they do, damned if they don't!
But maybe...just maybe...out of such strange and (to some) unpleasant posts, someone, somewhere might just come up with a workable idea for something better. Our problem, particularly here in the UK with our emphasis on PY sailing, is that with a little bit more effort, we could have something better - but then that something better could equally be subject to the same protectionist influences.

D


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Dougal H


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 2:00pm
Originally posted by The Moo

I see http://sailingdinghies.apolloduck.co.uk/listings.phtml?cid=928" rel="nofollow - Icon 06 is up for sale on Apollo Duck. Could be yours for under £3K

seems grossly overpriced for a boat with no circuit, no nationals, no spares when it goes wrong or the consumables wear out and no seeming resale potential....


Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 2:45pm
Originally posted by Gordon 1430

Sorry But I think the Icon was killed by Cirus selling the rights to Devoti who did nothing with it and then it being sold again to Rondar. They seem to have done nothing with it for now.

Mike never sold the right to Devoti as far as I am aware he appointed them the builder.

The Devoti side is a somewhat different story but there are always 2 sides to every story.

The rights may have actually been sold now as I believe Mike looking forward to enjoying a more relaxed way of life since the sale of the Blaze rights to Hartleys.

I believe he is working with Rondar on an Icon variant for the US market though.


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Paul
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D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 2:52pm
Originally posted by jeffers

Shame it (Icon)was a lovely sail and very quick especially on a small puddle inland.


Originally posted by Bootscooter



I still insist it (Alto)was one of the best boats I've ever sailed, .


Originally posted by Dougaldog

grain of truth


So I'm going to take that, but even in my trollish best scenario, I wouldn't lay the entire blame at the doors of the PYAG however irritating I might find them, their lack of transparency and general bumbling. The blame goes further imv.

It includes the lazy greedy polytub builders who care not a jot about the sizzle (our sport) they are supposed to be selling more the margin in the sausages and lack of warranty issues with the result that any uptake is confined to the sailing equivalent of watching grass grow on the excitement richter scale, not likely to induce folk to go home, find a club and carry on.

It also includes those clubs that insist on perpetuating the museums, although it's difficult for them if they have no exciting new, fully endorsed wonder boats to promote.

Finally it's down to the lack of an overall sport marketing initiative, not entirely fair to lay that at the door of the RYA, but without a viable trade organisation (does the BMTA still exist even?)pushing hard or pushing hard the way the rest of the world markets these days, then the sport is doomed to decline.

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Posted By: Eisvogel
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 2:59pm
Originally posted by Do Different

Another question, would anybody like to say they've bought into a Class (or not) based on the PY rather than the fit for them both physically & mentally and the waters they sail on?

No. When I bought my boat (Ent) I didn't even know about PY. It's the last thing on my mind for making such a decision.

I use PY as a rough indicator which boats should be faster/slower than me in our club racing, that's all.


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Enterprise 20361 (Eisvogel), Laser 102727 (Halcyon), Laser 121986


Posted By: Gordon 1430
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 3:14pm
I think the decline in two handed sailing has a lot to do with RYA courses pushing all towards helming.
No training teaching people to crew which misses out those who may want a less responsible role for a while.
I wonder how many people we lose that if they crewed for a while might build confidence enough to stay with the sport.


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Gordon
Phantom 1430


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 3:15pm
Originally posted by Eisvogel

I use PY as a rough indicator which boats should be faster/slower than me in our club racing, that's all.

and that's exactly what it's intended for.... Thumbs Up


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 3:31pm
Originally posted by Gordon 1430

I think the decline in two handed sailing has a lot to do with RYA courses pushing all towards helming.
No training teaching people to crew which misses out those who may want a less responsible role for a while.
I wonder how many people we lose that if they crewed for a while might build confidence enough to stay with the sport.


If that's the case then certainly it must play a part, is there such a thing as a racing crew course? I know there's some big boat yotty designation 'competent crew' which is about as patronising as you can get.

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 4:23pm
the big issue with crewing is the social cock-blocking that meanders from not being the boat's owner.....  

Society is more egalitarian these days and no-one needs reminding of their lack of status from non-boat ownership in a sailing club, not when there's a cycling club accessible with a £300 quid job from Halfords. 

A fundamental re-think is needed.... where club owned boats are the norm. 


Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 4:23pm
They RYA syllabus does cover crewing but only later on (Seamanship modules which are best taught in a crewed scenario).

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Paul
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D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 4:30pm
Well there should be.A decent crew capable of calling the shifts as competently as a helm with perhaps the additional physicaility required to do all that rope pulling and the pole moving bollox old boats still do is a very valuable asset, in fact I'd go as far as to say more important than the dick on the stick.

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Posted By: Sam.Spoons
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 5:00pm
Depends on the boat but in many boats (anything with a trapeze and/or kite) the crew has far more opportunity to influence boat speed (for good or ill) than the helm. The problem may also be that crewing such boats is a tough call for a newb (especially if the helm/owner is expecting to go fast from the off) and many perceive crewing hiking, no kite two handers as boring.....

My costal club does a great job of getting beginners into sailing without a sniff of formal training and RYA levels.....


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Spice 346 "Flat Broke"
Blaze 671 "supersonic soap dish"


Posted By: transient
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 5:18pm
Originally posted by turnturtle

the big issue with crewing is the social cock-blocking that meanders from not being the boat's owner.....  

Society is more egalitarian these days and no-one needs reminding of their lack of status from non-boat ownership in a sailing club, not when there's a cycling club accessible with a £300 quid job from Halfords. 

A fundamental re-think is needed.... where club owned boats are the norm. 

"cock-blocking" what the hell is that? I now have an image in my head that I didn't want.

Speak English please.

It might look cool to some but cliches, jargon and street talk don't help sell the sport.


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 6:58pm
The clubs, classes, builders and establishment have all played there part in protecting/promoting the status quo over new comers. Even the simple fact that classes like the Merlin Rocket and N12 propose higher PY for their older boats is evidence of that. Do they recommend lower numbers for new boats?  No, they don't.  


Posted By: Noah
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 7:29pm
There are many examples in the single trap, symmetric kite classes where the crew, who - let's face it - does most of the work, owns the boat.

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Nick
D-Zero 316



Posted By: Cirrus
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 7:59pm
Rondar have taken on Icon and are developing a great version tailored for the N.American market.  In many ways they are even stronger over there than in the UK and know the market extremely well.  You need the right partner - always.

Frankly the boat is very unlikely to be marketed into the UK.  This country, for fairly obvious reasons now, is a market that is very possibly too small on its own in our opinion and likely to remain as tough as it can get for a few years.   Furthermore few in Europe are likely to buy, take on or distribute a new UK produced boat for quite some time.  Eventually however it might make sence to produce beyond the UK and import from there into Europe .. and just maybe even the UK.  I'm not holding my breath on that one btw !

As for any PN effect .... hardly matters now.


Posted By: 423zero
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 8:04pm
Do the established classes really need protecting ?
They are established classes for a reason, they work.
For every established class their are a dozen that have fallen by the wayside over the years, some have been said to be great boats.


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 8:20pm
Originally posted by Cirrus

! As for any PN effect .... hardly matters now.


Except for the fact the yanks don't have a viable yardstick system either and guess where they will be looking.

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Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 8:24pm
Originally posted by 423zero

Do the established classes really need protecting ?.


Everything needs protecting, it just doesn't need protecting at the expense of others, the entire activity needs constantly promoting, just to cope with natural wastage as folk move, change jobs, get married, get divorced and more important to us, just plain up and die.

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Posted By: Dougaldog
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 8:45pm


"Except for the fact the yanks don't have a viable yardstick system either and guess where they will be looking"

Oh really?????? Is that a fact or more of the same old? Last time I looked there was a perfectly viable PY system out there -  no better, nor worse than ours. But with the  distances involved, maybe the need for PY sailing is more valid there than here.

I guess fact checking isn't part of the process here.

D


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Dougal H


Posted By: Rupert
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 8:59pm
All our adult teaching happens in doublehanders. We do much of stage 3 and all of stage 4 in them. Much of our junior sailing post stage 4 is in doublehanders, as are advanced courses for adults. Perhaps on these courses, at our club and elsewhere, more needs to be done by the DI to teach the crew rather than it being thought of as "waiting for my turn".

We certainly emphasize the communication aspects of the helm-crew relationship.

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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686


Posted By: 423zero
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 9:02pm
Not many blue collar sailors in US.



Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 10:19pm
Originally posted by transient

Originally posted by turnturtle

the big issue with crewing is the social cock-blocking that meanders from not being the boat's owner.....  
Society is more egalitarian these days and no-one needs reminding of their lack of status from non-boat ownership in a sailing club, not when there's a cycling club accessible with a £300 quid job from Halfords. 
A fundamental re-think is needed.... where club owned boats are the norm. 

"cock-blocking" what the hell is that? I now have an image in my head that I didn't want.
Speak English please.It might look cool to some but cliches, jargon and street talk don't help sell the sport.



It's not you we need to sell the sport to though is it? Besides sailing is riddled with cliche and closed vernacular, I believe, that ship may have already sailed...


Posted By: 423zero
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 10:31pm
Hmmm ? cliches and Jargon, street talk and English, 'Never the twain shall meet'.


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 18 Jul 17 at 11:16pm
Originally posted by Dougaldog

"Except for the fact the yanks don't have a viable yardstick system either and guess where they will be looking"


Oh really?????? Is that a fact or more of the same old?


http://forums.sailinganarchy.com/index.php?/topic/176973-can-we-save-portsmouth-handicap-racing/" rel="nofollow - Here have a read, draw your own conclusions

As for jargon, have you any idea how anachronistic it is for the layman to be confronted with terms like "Commodore" "Vice Commodore Sailing" Then sheets? Sheets you sleep between not haul in, I could go on, quite honestly it's easier for the man in the street to quickly 'get' cock blocking over luffing up.

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Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 1:30am
Originally posted by Dougaldog

Oh dear, whatever happened to dear Mr Voltaire and his assertion that "I dislike what you say, but will defend the right you have to say it". Curtailing our freedom to take a position is a damned slippery slope and using legal threats or  some form of censorship is a worrying thought. I could well fall foul of such strictures; what we need is more bizarre posts, not less.

Surely making specific accusations of dishonesty against volunteers is not something Voltaire would defend.

The reference to defamation was a matter of rhetoric, I admit. But it's a measure of the nature and extent of Grumpf's foul slurs that they are very likely to be seen as defamatory.
 



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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 1:50am
Originally posted by Dougaldog



"Except for the fact the yanks don't have a viable yardstick system either and guess where they will be looking"

Oh really?????? Is that a fact or more of the same old? Last time I looked there was a perfectly viable PY system out there -  no better, nor worse than ours. But with the  distances involved, maybe the need for PY sailing is more valid there than here.

I guess fact checking isn't part of the process here.

D
From looking at the numbers for the US it seems that their system is far inferior to the UK one. Check out these figures;

RS700                                             73.3
RS 600                                            76.2
RS 800                                            77 
505                                                  79.8
B 14                                                81
RS400                                         82.3
29er                                                 84.5
International 14 85.3
470                                                  86.3
Vortex                                             86.8
420                                                 89.9
Albacore                                         90.3
Laser                                               91.1
Snipe                                               91.9
Laser II 92.8
Europe                                             92.8
Laser 4.7                                         95.4
Moth                                               107.1
  
One must pity the 420 sailors trying to give 2% to Lasers, or the 400 sailor giving a Vortex 4.5% instead of getting 1+%.  It wouldn't be fun trying to finish ahead of 800s in a 600. And as for the 14 being slower than a 400, or a Moth slower than a 4.7!!!!!!!


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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 6:34am
Those numbers are bonkers.  But what it does show is the huge variance in numbers you can get when applying essentially the same method to different small samples. Which is why at least weighting them with some sort of measurement calculation would be no bad thing. A sort of Kalman filter estimate of PY, if you like. 



Posted By: Rupert
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 6:37am
The Moth handicap may well be for the low aspect rigged classic version, but struggling with the others. I can only think that what data there is is spread so thin that various boats have never raced against each other, and possibly only against far dissimilar boats and crew skill factors.

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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686


Posted By: Old Timer
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 8:39am
Originally posted by iGRF

Well here's a thing, how many more Icons would have sold had they not killed it dead with their malicious and savage attack?

The Icon killed its self with numerous builder and spec changes in its early life. 


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 9:45am
Originally posted by Old Timer


Originally posted by iGRF

Well here's a thing, how many more Icons would have sold had they not killed it dead with their malicious and savage attack?

The Icon killed its self with numerous builder and spec changes in its early life. 


How many builders does/did the Merlin have (honest question, I've no idea) yet for reasons best known to me I kind of compared the Icon to the Merlin as they both entered my world at about the same time they both had similar handicaps yet the Merlin had a kite, I raced against the Icon at the FOM and they didn't appear to be overly advantaged by their rating which was around 1020 to the Merlins 1002, that was 2012/3, then the system changed or something cataclysmic happened and a few 'chosen' classes were massively targeted.

The Icon went to 969 yet the Merlin, clearly a faster (yet well 'protected') class just went to 994, Now the data for the Icon appeared to be one person sailing multiple times on one piece of water, so tell me, do I apply Occam's or Hanlon's Razor to that outcome, the builder issues followed that event.

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 9:54am
Are we talking Experimental Numbers again?  the clue is in the name.... as such, adjust it locally if it's so bad, or simply wait for enough critical mass in the returns that your class moves to a primary number.  Anyway, who would let a little irrelevance of an Experimental Number get in the way of owning the boat you really, really want to sail as an early adopter vs something more established like a N12, Merlin, Ent, GP14, Taser or RS400?


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 10:10am
Originally posted by Chris 249


Originally posted by Dougaldog

Oh dear, whatever happened to dear Mr Voltaire and his assertion that "I dislike what you say, but will defend the right you have to say it". Curtailing our freedom to take a position is a damned slippery slope and using legal threats or  some form of censorship is a worrying thought. I could well fall foul of such strictures; what we need is more bizarre posts, not less.
Surely making specific accusations of dishonesty against volunteers is not something Voltaire would defend.
The reference to defamation was a matter of rhetoric, I admit. But it's a measure of the nature and extent of Grumpf's foul slurs that they are very likely to be seen as defamatory. 


Let's get this straight, to defame someone, you need to name them and since I have no idea, nor do most people, of the names of any of the PYAG, nor are their roles and positions made public, nor is their methodology, if it was it could perhaps be better questioned, your lashing out with confected outrage isn't helping the discussion either and since it doesn't really affect you, one does question wtf is your problem? Volunteer is exactly that, I'd volunteer if asked as I'm sure others would, nobody does, the positions are never advertised, so it's not quite like that is it, it's a closed shop of quite obviously agenda driven insiders. It lacks transparency and is what I would refer to in my commercial role as a 'sales objection' to be overcome when marketing the product, given the sport is a product that needs marketing, it's just one more negative part of the package that could so easily be turned around to be a positive, but like always nobody's listening.

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 10:50am
Originally posted by iGRF

 it's just one more negative part of the package that could so easily be turned around to be a positive, but like always nobody's listening.


You are missing the bigger picture though Graeme.... if those who enjoy handicap racing for what it is, enjoy it, then great.  I don't think it could be better supported from the RYA- it's as good as it's likely to get, assuming of course that the current system is retained and the numbers are kept relevant to recent racing data.  It's sailing, it's loosely competitive and it's got structure which given no other option, still seems like better than nothing.

However for all those that find it utterly infuriating, then really the answer is very, very simple and has been for decades- find class racing.  Either travel to sail the boat you want- increasingly that might be overseas, or compromise and sail what is sailed locally.  



Posted By: PeterG
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 10:59am
 it's a closed shop of quite obviously agenda driven insiders

It's absolutely true the PYAG is agenda driven - it's shocking!

They have an agenda to try and make it possible for people to race different boats against each other on as close to a level playing field as possible. In the full knowledge that it's a project that is never going to be able to do more than make fairly imperfect compromises. And in the knowledge that for those for whom sailing on as near an equal footing under all conditions as possible is most important then class racing is available and offers that. For those for whom the choice of boat is uppermost it's clear that they will always have to accept major compromises in terms of competitive racing against boats of different classes.


-------------
Peter
Ex Cont 707
Ex Laser 189635
DY 59


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 11:19am
I'm not missing any picture, I'm just noticing the picture shrinking when with a bit of thought and positive action all the effort that is currently clearly being wasted, could be channelled to greater effect.

Membership of clubs and the RYA could be boosted, a massive database created, revenue stream increased, sport advertising budget created, just a little vision required.

Boats don't change, people and their circumstances change, harness that and everyone profits.



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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 11:31am
Of course it's shrinking - the primary historic demographic of the past (blokes) are becoming far more time poor at weekends and generally as families, we are more bucket list in our approach to leisure- good for the travel industry, bad for time and equipment intensive past times.  

Personally I think the general decline in accessible class racing doesn't help matters for competitive sailing; so any attempts to 'sell' a rebooted version of the same old handicap racing, this time with a different set of arguably less reliable and less tested metrics, frankly will lead to a larger churn and even greater loss of participation. 

There are pockets of innovation which I strongly admire - Lymington's Aero fleet, Goreleston's D-Ones, Stokes Bay with their Mustos etc......  but this is not the norm around here unfortunately.


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 11:54am
You have like everyone here a problem in that you cannot snap out of your traditional mindset.

There is an opportunity to totally change the way the sport is presented and dare I say back door license it's participants, right from the get go.

Give every would be have a goer their 'handicap' instead of levels, that level thing was developed by us years ago to help the school revenue streams, it was OK then, but things have changed now and nobody could have guessed how much of an obstacle to long term take it would turn out to be.

Every boat should also have a rating, it should be a fixed rating based on science, maths and performance GPS if necessary or 'Peaky style' best formula guess if not but not left to random return chance.

Then the racing should be a combination of those two, folk then are immediately motivated to join clubs to improve that rating once they return from vacation/school to the real world, that rating could also be harnessed at OD class level to divide the prizes more widely than the normal pecking order.

It's all been said before and no doubt it'll be said again and who cares anyway, but....

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 12:03pm
sounds hideous..... I can already hear the cacophony of moaning and groaning to such statistical f**ktardary.  

I'd much rather accept my lot at the back of the fleet, even a PY fleet (blaming the boat suitability), than be constantly reminded I'm still 50 over Par like the dudes dropping in off the latest membership drive.  


Posted By: rb_stretch
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 12:52pm
Originally posted by turnturtle

Are we talking Experimental Numbers again?  the clue is in the name.... as such, adjust it locally if it's so bad, or simply wait for enough critical mass in the returns that your class moves to a primary number. 


As an ex-Sailing Secretary I confidently say that is far easier said than done. If local adjustment is not to become one opinion against another then you need enough races to adjust a local handicap. We only ever got enough for the classes that don't really need PY (Lasers and Solos).

I just don't think local adjustment works in most situations, which is why the national numbers are quite important.


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 12:58pm
Originally posted by rb_stretch

Originally posted by turnturtle

Are we talking Experimental Numbers again?  the clue is in the name.... as such, adjust it locally if it's so bad, or simply wait for enough critical mass in the returns that your class moves to a primary number. 


As an ex-Sailing Secretary I confidently say that is far easier said than done. If local adjustment is not to become one opinion against another then you need enough races to adjust a local handicap. We only ever got enough for the classes that don't really need PY (Lasers and Solos).

I just don't think local adjustment works in most situations, which is why the national numbers are quite important.

agreed - but folks signing up for a new boat ought to accept that it'll take time for the national number to acclimatise ...  there's no magic formula any other way, and even if there were, it would probably be more contentious with accusations of designing around the rules and cheque book sailing (IRC has its fair share of critics too) 


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 1:27pm
Originally posted by turnturtle


[QUOTE=rb_stretch]
[QUOTE=turnturtle] but folks signing up for a new boat ought to accept that it'll take time for the national number to acclimatise ...]


Why? FFS? It is 2017 now we have computers, the web. Why do they have to wait til a bunch of buffers go down the data mine. Why can't the builder be trusted? OK take him down a couple of %, or give him 1000 to start with, but you cannot tell me there was anything other than either extreme malice or stupidity in reducing a builders claim of 1020 to 969 when similar craft were only shifted small percentages.

People who risk sometimes everything to manufacture a boat should be treated with less contempt by 'Amateur or Professional Volunteers'

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 1:47pm
who was malicious and/or stupid?  The PYAG for generating a number based on limited data due to limited sales?  Or the builder whose estimations proved so flawed when faced with actual race data (albeit limited).

Frankly following that logic to conclusion, I would humbly suggest that any new boat can go swing for any number, even an EN, from the RYA/PYAG, if all the volunteers get back are accusations of malice and stupidity.  (I know one guy on the group well enough to state with 100% certainty that he is neither malicious nor stupid.)


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 1:52pm
Simple answer to that then.

Don't do it if you are unable to do it properly.

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Posted By: RS400atC
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:06pm
The Icon at 976 is rated 4% faster than the closest boat in terms of concept, the Tasar.
If we haven't made that kind of progress in the last 40 years, maybe we should stick to the old classes?


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:07pm
Originally posted by iGRF

Simple answer to that then.

Don't do it if you are unable to do it properly.

probably a good idea... let the owner and his/her club set the initial EN used locally.  Once the data is fed in to the system, then the RYA can get involved.  

Obviously owners are going to want to know before buying a rough idea of the anticipated PN from the manufacturer... let's hope they don't get it so wildly wrong again!


Posted By: Sam.Spoons
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:33pm
Do manufacturers suggest a low number to make a new boat look fast or a high number so the boat wins a few events early on?

My experience of the Spice is that the original EN of 930, which I believe was manufacturer suggested, is wildly optimistic and good only for big open sea courses. It's pretty much totally unattainable anywhere else. The current suggested PN is 950 which seems reasonable to me (and, given that the number of active boats is probably in single figures there will never be enough returns to generate a proper number).


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Spice 346 "Flat Broke"
Blaze 671 "supersonic soap dish"


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:35pm
Better still, go on the new UK Saiboat Handicap Racing Association website, sign up, dial in your specs and get your instant number.

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Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:35pm
Originally posted by iGRF

Originally posted by Chris 249


Originally posted by Dougaldog

Oh dear, whatever happened to dear Mr Voltaire and his assertion that "I dislike what you say, but will defend the right you have to say it". Curtailing our freedom to take a position is a damned slippery slope and using legal threats or  some form of censorship is a worrying thought. I could well fall foul of such strictures; what we need is more bizarre posts, not less.
Surely making specific accusations of dishonesty against volunteers is not something Voltaire would defend.
The reference to defamation was a matter of rhetoric, I admit. But it's a measure of the nature and extent of Grumpf's foul slurs that they are very likely to be seen as defamatory. 


Let's get this straight, to defame someone, you need to name them and since I have no idea, nor do most people, of the names of any of the PYAG, nor are their roles and positions made public, nor is their methodology, if it was it could perhaps be better questioned, your lashing out with confected outrage isn't helping the discussion either and since it doesn't really affect you, one does question wtf is your problem? Volunteer is exactly that, I'd volunteer if asked as I'm sure others would, nobody does, the positions are never advertised, so it's not quite like that is it, it's a closed shop of quite obviously agenda driven insiders. It lacks transparency and is what I would refer to in my commercial role as a 'sales objection' to be overcome when marketing the product, given the sport is a product that needs marketing, it's just one more negative part of the package that could so easily be turned around to be a positive, but like always nobody's listening.
Oh, there's nothing confected about my outrage. You have made vile and cowardly allegations of corruption time and time again, against a bunch of volunteers. And no, you don't have to name people to defame them. 

And as for your suggestions - there are massive problems with them that we know about because we sailors have tried your "solutions" and you have lacked the honesty to accept that.




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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:42pm
Originally posted by Chris 249


Oh, there's nothing confected about my outrage - I truly think you are a vicious deplorable coward. You have made vile allegations of corruption time and time again, against a bunch of volunteers. And no, you don't have to name people to defame them. 
And as for your suggestions - there are massive problems with them that we know about because we sailors have tried your "solutions" and you have lacked the honesty to accept that.


Then you don't deserve a response, clearly a f**kwit, in fact worse than that an Aussie f**kwit, kindly steer clear of my threads if you find them offensive go and troll your 'book/blog' somewhere else.

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:47pm
Originally posted by Sam.Spoons

Do manufacturers suggest a low number to make a new boat look fast or a high number so the boat wins a few events early on?

My experience of the Spice is that the original EN of 930, which I believe was manufacturer suggested, is wildly optimistic and good only for big open sea courses. It's pretty much totally unattainable anywhere else. The current suggested PN is 950 which seems reasonable to me (and, given that the number of active boats is probably in single figures there will never be enough returns to generate a proper number).

the Spice was designed in Brightlingsea - no surprise it performed well over the mud flats in solid easterly breezes.  Had they run down the road to Alton to get its ass handed to it by locals in Fireballs and 505s, I'm sure their calculations may have been different.

I know one manufacturer who deliberately gave their new skiff a harsh handicap- purely to claim they had the fastest (in class) on the market.  

The statistics have won out over time, showing it for the bullsh*t marketing that it was.

To the best of my knowledge, they haven't repeated the mistake and generally have a good working relationship to get their boats a realistic EN as soon as possible.


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:49pm
Originally posted by iGRF

Better still, go on the new UK Saiboat Handicap Racing Association website, sign up, dial in your specs and get your instant number.

oohhh.... can't we at least go to the bar at the RORC and nudge, nudge, wink, wink, extra brandy, then shove the stats through the black box first?


Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 2:57pm
Originally posted by iGRF

Originally posted by Chris 249


Oh, there's nothing confected about my outrage - I truly think you are a vicious deplorable coward. You have made vile allegations of corruption time and time again, against a bunch of volunteers. And no, you don't have to name people to defame them. 
And as for your suggestions - there are massive problems with them that we know about because we sailors have tried your "solutions" and you have lacked the honesty to accept that.


Then you don't deserve a response, clearly a f**kwit, in fact worse than that an Aussie f**kwit, kindly steer clear of my threads if you find them offensive go and troll your 'book/blog' somewhere else.
Oh dear, you're quite happy to dish it out but don't like getting anything in return. 

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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: PeterG
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 3:05pm
Then you don't deserve a response, clearly a f**kwit, in fact worse than that an Aussie f**kwit, kindly steer clear of my threads if you find them offensive go and troll your 'book/blog' somewhere else.

That really sum's up GRF's approach to discussion. Why does anyone bother to interact with him?


-------------
Peter
Ex Cont 707
Ex Laser 189635
DY 59


Posted By: Cirrus
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 3:10pm
The Icon at 976 is rated 4% faster than the closest boat in terms of concept, the Tasar.
If we haven't made that kind of progress in the last 40 years ....
.

Was not going to rise to all the **** that flies around each summer/winter and from time to time over handicap numbers... but few of us can resist sometimes can we !

So RS .. a  bit like the very meagre 2.5% or thereabouts between the Laser and the otherwise generally comparable Aero '7'  .. and the nearer to 50 years 'progress' to consider in that case   ...   LOL


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 3:15pm
I wouldn't take it as a criticism Mike, I don't think anyone who followed the Icon threads believed you were prioritising top speed over elegance, comfort and efficiency for a modern 'can basher'.  


Posted By: Cirrus
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 4:51pm
Nothing other read into it ... And the Tasar was not really that far ahead in its day either and is still a very good boat to sail.  Fast is 'easy' .. commercial appeal and route to market is the more tricky  one.  

But I do think the Rondar version can work rather well now.  You really need the right partner as I've said already.  Another key mistake with Icon was developing the boat 'in public' - I learnt a lot from these previous experiences/mistakes.  Don't make mistakes and you don't ever learn much.   To the best of my knowledge this time not a single photo of the Rondar development, details of evaluations undertaken and and not even the boats future name has made it into the public domain - yet.

The only real regret is that it will not feature this side of the pond....


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 5:04pm
Originally posted by Cirrus

Don't make mistakes and you don't ever learn much.   

ain't that the truth!!! LOL

but if you're feeling reflective, what about the eventual boat spec, do you think was altered due to external public opinion?  

You always came across as quite determined with its positioning (rightly so), despite the calls for rotating masts, kites and trapezes etc?


Posted By: RS400atC
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 5:26pm
Originally posted by Cirrus

The Icon at 976 is rated 4% faster than the closest boat in terms of concept, the Tasar.
If we haven't made that kind of progress in the last 40 years ....
.

Was not going to rise to all the **** that flies around each summer/winter and from time to time over handicap numbers... but few of us can resist sometimes can we !

So RS .. a  bit like the very meagre 2.5% or thereabouts between the Laser and the otherwise generally comparable Aero '7'  .. and the nearer to 50 years 'progress' to consider in that case   ...   LOL

Fair comment about the Aero.
I don't have experience of them and don't get interested in PYs above 999 anyway.
The problem with the Icon is that there are so few 2-rag boats to compare it to.
I would have thought the lightweight rig was worth a good few points on weight aloft vs the ali mast of a Tasar. Not to mention, I'd expect the rig to actually work quite well.It is a modern rig. And the hull looks as if it should be quick.I would regard an Icon  as a threat at 976 in most of the PY races I've sailed this year.
Depends a bit on course and windstrength as usual.!
I did see the one on Apollo Duck and think about putting a kite on it...
What would the PY of an NS/ MG14 look like?


Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 6:59pm
The PYAG will never give a number unless they have some data. If very little data it is an EN E for Experiemental. I.e. should be used as a starting point and adjusted if it seems wrong.

But enough about the facts eh....


-------------
Paul
----------------------
D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: Sam.Spoons
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 10:00pm
Originally posted by turnturtle

Originally posted by Sam.Spoons

Do manufacturers suggest a low number to make a new boat look fast or a high number so the boat wins a few events early on?

My experience of the Spice is that the original EN of 930, which I believe was manufacturer suggested, is wildly optimistic and good only for big open sea courses. It's pretty much totally unattainable anywhere else. The current suggested PN is 950 which seems reasonable to me (and, given that the number of active boats is probably in single figures there will never be enough returns to generate a proper number).

the Spice was designed in Brightlingsea - no surprise it performed well over the mud flats in solid easterly breezes.  Had they run down the road to Alton to get its ass handed to it by locals in Fireballs and 505s, I'm sure their calculations may have been different.

I know one manufacturer who deliberately gave their new skiff a harsh handicap- purely to claim they had the fastest (in class) on the market.  

The statistics have won out over time, showing it for the bullsh*t marketing that it was.

To the best of my knowledge, they haven't repeated the mistake and generally have a good working relationship to get their boats a realistic EN as soon as possible.

Thanks TT, I'm still slightly sceptical as to the accuracy of the SMOD builders numbers (both WRT to weight and PN) but I accept that these days they are more easily brought to account (there are clearly some skeletons in the various closets). It would be nice to think that the numbers are more realistic for current production. And, for the record, I do think the PY system is probably about as fair as we can reasonably expect (Spice excepted Evil Smile ).


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Spice 346 "Flat Broke"
Blaze 671 "supersonic soap dish"


Posted By: fab100
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 10:44pm
Godwin's Law, as applies on the Y&Y forum; every discussion leads to iGRF bleating about "corrupt" PYs and refusing to listen to those who have seen, multiple times that all measurement rating systems create more nonsensical issues and anomolies than they solve.

Deja Vu anyone?
 


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http://clubsailor.co.uk/wp/club-sailor-from-back-to-front/" rel="nofollow - Great book for Club Sailors here


Posted By: Chris 249
Date Posted: 19 Jul 17 at 11:47pm
Originally posted by RS400atC

 
What would the PY of an NS/ MG14 look like?
The NS14 yardstick is the same as the Tasar down here. But of course the Icon is significantly bigger than the NS14 and on paper it has a full 46% more sail area (ie as much as the difference between a standard Laser and a 4.7) and the advantage of a dangly pole, so it wouldn't seem surprising that the Icon was significantly faster than the NS. 

The Peaky number indicates that on raw and basic physical measurements, the Icon's PY was actually slightly softer than that of the Tasar, and the Icon's PR claimed that the Icon was significantly faster than the Tasar. 





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sailcraftblog.wordpress.com

The history and design of the racing dinghy.


Posted By: ttc546
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 7:24am
I really do care less about the PY numbers of any boat I sail. It is at best a basic indication of relative performance of an individual class of boat and any handicap system is far from perfect due to all the variables. I dont know why folks here get so heated about it. Just go and sail and stop swinging your various handbags about - this isnt Sailing Anarchy. ;-)

As for the Icon - never seen one, but after googling and YouTubing, this looks a great boat. I wish it all the success and a shame it never got off the ground here. Any new class these days needs the full backing and marketing and support of the builder. Selling boats just by making them will never see them get established. There will always be niche builder building older classes for the faithful few, but new classes need a different dynamic. Looks like the Icon needs that to get going.


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Posted By: ttc546
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 7:31am
BTW - I do like the idea of combining a personal handicap with the class PY. Although it will never get off the ground, as if we cant agree on PY's then we will never agree on PH numbers ;-). Nice thought though as it means we each have a relative personal value, separate to class and club conditions, to improve upon. Agree that sometimes you need to think differently and be prepared to challenge old ideas in order to move forward for the future

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Posted By: Rupert
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 8:07am
Too many variables for me, having both PAY and PH combined, making any number at he end come out worse than an educated guess. I really think big fleets like the Laser should try it, though, where everyone is playing the same game.

As for the Icon, I loved my trial sail despite the lack of breeze. It wouldn't surprise me at all that it is faster than a Merlin (or the Merlin yardstick, different thing) even without a kite. Longer, lighter, not constrained by rules. I've never understood why the expected speed wasn't celebrated by Cirrus, rather than attacked. It was the reaction, not the EN, that put me off. I think it would eat Phantoms and Aero 9s for breakfast on a lake at 976.

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Firefly 2324, Puffin 229, Minisail 3446 Mirror 70686


Posted By: Cirrus
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 9:04am
PN's are a distraction here....  but Icon was/is fast.  The fastest 2 sail/2 person production hiker anywhere.   However there are limits to what was  possible with a non-epoxy production boat intended for 2 'regular' sized people with a reasonable sail plan (it carries a wide range of 'grown-up' sized crews !)  with pivoting foils and without the advantage of a rotating wing mast.  As has been said already 'speed' is the easy bit (always was) but if you want to keep things affordable, well mannered and easy to live with you don't develop boats as if they were in a formal development class (the ruin of some btw..).

Handicap numbers come and go frankly ... and make little difference to the sailing experience. 

The new Rondar boat, well now that really is a bit different albeit you may still be able to see the 'roots' clearly enough.   When and how they choose launch it in their target market is entirely up to them and our transatlantic cousins can then make up their own minds on it.  But if I get the chance I will still sail one of the development boats remaining over here this winter (possibly Sailjuice series) simply cos I like it regardless of any handicap on offer.   

Now I really must get on with fixing that Shrimper .... and no I'm not bothered about its PN either !


Posted By: iGRF
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 2:01pm
Originally posted by fab100

Godwin's Law, as applies on the Y&Y forum; every discussion leads to iGRF bleating about "corrupt" PYs and refusing to listen to those who have seen, multiple times that all measurement rating systems create more nonsensical issues and anomolies than they solve.
Deja Vu anyone?
 


So correct me if I'm wrong but most of these 'measurement based rating systems' that have been tried in the past and failed, they were all for dinghies right? No? So, you mean they've been tried on big boats and failed in that environment?

Care to show me an example?

I do simply refuse to accept that it can't be done, obviously I accept it will be no more perfect than the existing system, but it would at least be computerised and would apply to all, then there could be no unfair targeting or isolated anomalies thrown up by one guy on a lake somewhere and God forbid it could be transparent, then there could be no accusations.

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Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 2:22pm
Originally posted by iGRF

I do simply refuse to accept that it can't be done.

No one suggests it's some impossible task.  Of course it can be done technically.  It probably could be covered as an undergraduate project at Solent Uni if required.  Data generation is getting cheaper every day.  Roll out is your biggest issue...  

The problem is there is zero appetite for 'it' and 'it' is not clearly defined in the first place.... 

1) are you including a personal handicap in the equation?  

 - are you factoring in weight and height too?  Or is the personal handicap skill based only
 -  if so, who decides what personal handicap is applied?  The RYA?  Club principal officers? 

2) are you adding an age factor to the boat, how for example, are you handling development classes, or even one designs with notable step-changes (e.g. the very popular Supernova)

3) I'm assuming it will cater for wind strength variables, water state and tide?  

4) who is paying for this investment?  The volunteers you hate so much?

5) what happens in the period of churn, when the inevitable intransigence kicks in and half the clubs the country reject it and still run PY?  That sort of seismic split in our broad community would be devastating.  Your eventual proposal, even if clinically could be proved 'better', simply could not withstand the cost of change.

For all these reasons, my suggestion to you is to find a boat with class racing and forget about handicap racing.  It's so abundantly clear that it really is not to your liking and measuring the boats, rather than analysing results, isn't going to change that!!!


Posted By: Eisvogel
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 2:28pm
  ...but it would at least be computerised and would apply to all, then there could be no unfair targeting or isolated anomalies thrown up by one guy on a lake somewhere and God forbid it could be transparent, then there could be no accusations.

I hate to disappoint you, but computerised does not mean either unbiased or transparent. On the contrary, most computerised systems are less transparent, and have implicit biases which are hard to detect. Garbage in, garbage out, as an old computing proverb goes.

If it's a hard problem, then throwing a computer at it won't do any good.

How do you account for course? On our lake there are certain courses that are ideal for Merlins with their kites to blast along. Other courses have longer beats where a Laser or an Ent does better. On windy days faster boats invariably win our pursuits, on drifting days they can't get enough speed to catch up with the slower boats. That is impossible to solve with a one-size-fits-all system, however sophisticated or computerised.


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Enterprise 20361 (Eisvogel), Laser 102727 (Halcyon), Laser 121986


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 4:14pm
I can't understand such passionate disliking for the idea. It needn't be so complicated - no course, wind, height, weight etc tweaks, just a single number as now. Sure, if someone could factor in a way of including wind then why not, but it's not essential.

Of course the number won't be perfect, but the benefit of a computer algorithm is that it can't be accused of protectionism, of human error, of corruption. And why should PYs be managed by unpaid volunteers? The RYA is a professional organisation funded out of our fees. If they need to pay someone to do a job, so be it.



Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 4:40pm
Originally posted by A2Z

I can't understand such passionate disliking for the idea. It needn't be so complicated - no course, wind, height, weight etc tweaks, just a single number as now. Sure, if someone could factor in a way of including wind then why not, but it's not essential.


the problem comes when the scope drifts- as per personal handicap variables littered throughout this thread.  But I do agree, the less tweaks the more successful an alternative handicap system might be.  

I guess both systems could be run parallel to assess pros and cons in a sandbox environment.... however, I bet in the majority of clubs the series results would be largely unaffected and it will be the same folks who are largely disaffected given that not much has seemingly changed!!!    


Posted By: Oli
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 4:42pm
Originally posted by A2Z



but the benefit of a computer algorithm is that it can't be accused of protectionism, of human error, of corruption. 

yes it can, the soft squishy thing that creates that algorithm can be protectionist and capable of human error and subject to (accusations of) corruption.


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Posted By: Eisvogel
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 4:49pm
Originally posted by Oli

Originally posted by A2Z



but the benefit of a computer algorithm is that it can't be accused of protectionism, of human error, of corruption. 

yes it can, the soft squishy thing that creates that algorithm can be protectionist and capable of human error and subject to (accusations of) corruption.

Exactly. Computers are no silver bullets!


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Enterprise 20361 (Eisvogel), Laser 102727 (Halcyon), Laser 121986


Posted By: fab100
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 4:52pm
Originally posted by A2Z

I can't understand such passionate disliking for the idea.

OK, I'm suckered in.
What makes dinghies go is too complex, too many variables. Here's an example. 

When i was a kid, the jib sheeting position was moved from the gunwhale to the outer edge of the thwart. Making that change, plus sails cut to suit meant you had to be a total muppet to get beaten my an unconverted boat. The difference in performance on such a simple change was staggering.

So does that simple, seemingly irrelevant change lead to an update in this miraculous rating system handicap or not? If so, how exactly. If not, I call foul already.

In my youth I raced Larks, but the latest boats, although measuring the same in every way, I'll bet are far faster; being built better, stiffer and with adjustable, fully rakable rigs. But under grumphs new wonder system, it would still rate the same against an Ent (that has not changed at all) or Laser (again now faster than 20 years ago, thanks to XD packs, but that at least was a rule change)

Different boats polars mean they under or over perform compared to others in different windspeeds and sea conditions. Try a Contender on a narrow river against an Ent. Then again in a F5 in Weymouth Bay. One number does not, cannot, fit both sets of circumstances. But at least the current system is based on where the majority of boats are actually handicap raced. A rating system falls at that too.

And what TT has said.



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Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 5:06pm
Sorry, I'm too busy writing performance prediction algorithms to answer! I take your points, but think solutions exist.


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 5:19pm
Here's an interesting example that I honestly don't know the answer to. In his books Frank Bethwaite talks about the development of the Byte C2. The theoretical polar diagrams he made of the C2 and Laser Radial indicated the C2 would be quicker. Testing/racing he organised also showed the C2 to be quicker. Yet the PY suggests it is slower. Which one is wrong?


Posted By: jeffers
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 5:33pm
Originally posted by A2Z

Here's an interesting example that I honestly don't know the answer to. In his books Frank Bethwaite talks about the development of the Byte C2. The theoretical polar diagrams he made of the C2 and Laser Radial indicated the C2 would be quicker. Testing/racing he organised also showed the C2 to be quicker. Yet the PY suggests it is slower. Which one is wrong?

You are talking about potential rather than the average skill of sailor in a particular class.

Somehow the Supernova has progressively got slower over that past few years despite shedding some 15-20kg in hull weight (and being built in epoxy which should help make it stiffer). The only other variable is the nut on the tiller.

I am not bashing the Supernova it is just an example I am aware of as our sailing sec is always banging on about the D-Zero number being 'wrong' and shuts up when i ask him why his boat seems to be getting slower despite improvements.....


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Paul
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D-Zero GBR 74


Posted By: Daniel Holman
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 5:38pm
Originally posted by A2Z

Here's an interesting example that I honestly don't know the answer to. In his books Frank Bethwaite talks about the development of the Byte C2. The theoretical polar diagrams he made of the C2 and Laser Radial indicated the C2 would be quicker. Testing/racing he organised also showed the C2 to be quicker. Yet the PY suggests it is slower. Which one is wrong?


Bethwaites calculation, use and treatment of polar diagrams is to say the very least spurious.
I would 99% believe evidence based handicap re which is quickest in the real world.
I could believe Byte could be quicker upwind in light airs, marginally.
Not any other time.


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 5:55pm
Maybe so, but 10 years ago the PY difference was over 60 points, now it's down to 8. The Byte will be faster by 2020!


Posted By: turnturtle
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 6:04pm
Byte has had a significant rig change in that time, and has gone from a friday afternoon boat in Brightlingsea up to Ovington- which with respect, are far more sophisticated outlet producing Olympic grade equipment.


Posted By: Guests
Date Posted: 20 Jul 17 at 6:27pm
Ah, but here's the point. The Byte rig change was 2004. In 2007, three years later, it's PY was 1162. The Radial was 1101. Now the Byte is 1147, just 15 points faster. The Radial is now 1139, 38 points slower (despite xd kits). What this indicates could be interpreted many ways, but here's my take:
A results based system is not very accurate - the significant Byte rig change has had less effect than unexplained drift in the Radial number, which has changed by 3% in 10 years. This despite having an order of magnitude more returns than most classes.

A measurement based (or measurement weighted) system would filter out some noise and reduce response times to design changes.



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